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To: long-gone who wrote (31947)4/16/1999 9:59:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116766
 
Mining rush stuns traders

By Bruce Hextall

The mining sector was hit for its second successive day
by massive buying orders from overseas institutions on
Friday, sending prices to levels that left local traders
stunned.

At the end of trading, all the major stocks had soared
after institutions decided it was time to move into the
sector, having being underweight because of a poor
outlook for metal prices.

"This is incredible stuff. The speed of the turnaround is
phenomenal," said Bell Securities' resources analyst, Mr
Keith Goode.

He said massive volumes showed that the largely US
institutions were keen to get whatever stock they could.

At the close of trade on Friday, the All Resources Index
was up 74.5 points at 1187.22, making an 11.5 per cent
gain for the week.

Top-line stocks led the charge. BHP gained a further 85¢
to finish at $16.40 after 13.4 million shares traded; Rio
Tinto added $1.71 to $26 on trade of 1.8 million shares;
more than 30 million WMC shares traded, pushing the
stock 93¢ higher to finish at $6.20; while North gained
35¢ to close at $3.05 on trade of 11.02 million.

Even previously friendless stocks such as MIM Holdings
had one of their best days. In MIM's case 41 million
shares traded as the price rose 9¢ to close at 82¢.

"This is not being driven by fundamentals. It's pure
sentiment but volumes show it is serious money, " Mr
Goode said.

The rush for stocks in the resources sector was kicked
off in the US on Wednesday, when the big aluminium
producer Alcoa gave a bullish presentation to analysts,
suggesting that markets for its products were stronger
than anticipated.

Alcoa's chief financial officer, Mr Richard Kelson, said
that although Japan remained flat his group was beginning
to see recovery in other parts of Asia, while Latin
America was improving and the US market remained
robust.

His remarks were sufficient for the US institutions, which
had no interest up to now, to decide it was time to hop
back into the resources sector.

Analysts also attributed the rise to a shift away from
technology stocks. Having made huge profits, investors
wished to diversify into cyclical stocks. The move was in
anticipation of a recovery in metal prices, although most
Australian analysts believe that might still be some time
away because of the supply situation.

Nevertheless, the copper price rose more than 3 per cent
on Thursday night to a two-month high on growing
confidence that demand from Asia is strengthening. The
metal was trading at US67¢ - which is still not a price to
make many mines profitable.

"It is really a matter of what you believe," said Macquarie
Equities analyst Mr Paul Barnes. "We're still saying the
low point has been reached, but commodity prices will
only rise when the supply situation tightens. In the US
they also believe the bottom has been reached, but the
recovery will be demand-driven."

afr.com.au