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To: Zardoz who wrote (32019)4/18/1999 12:43:00 AM
From: Jim McMannis  Respond to of 116762
 
Hutch,
I'm not totally convinced yet that this is anything more than a counter trend rally but as with history of XAU rallys, it's easy to miss 50% of a rally waiting to be convinced or see some reason for it. You are well aware of the anticipatory nature of the XAU.

As far as interest rates and gold, I suppose I should have qualified that and say interest rates can be an indicator helping to predict XAU movement...depending whether how far ahead or behind the interest rate curve that the FED is. Taking into consideration how far and at what velocity rates have dropped (or gone up). My model really has nothing to do with inflows of money into the USA, only the cost of borrowing money. To be exact. The rate situation isn't particulaly favorable for gold stocks at this time. Some other factors are looking better however.

Just a note for Tom, corrections can go sideways as well as down. Even if we don't start a big rally until June the XAU can still go sideways until then.

Regards, Jim



To: Zardoz who wrote (32019)4/18/1999 10:37:00 AM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116762
 
still spewing the same 'ole garbage I see....

wrong again.... HO HO HO

I thought gold was supposed to be at $250 by now according to you?

ho ho... -g-