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Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tunica Albuginea who wrote (20786)4/19/1999 3:11:00 AM
From: VLAD  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 23519
 
TUNA,

Based on a phone conversation with Vivus a while back ago I was advised that the information obtained via the Freedom of Information Act went something like this:

9 million prescriptions written to 4 million men resulting in over 430 Viagra linked deaths. This does not mention any other "adverse" reactions such as heart attacks and fainting spells due to the hypotensive effects.

Assuming a number of exactly 430 deaths on 4 million men who use(d) Viagra, I get a morbidity rate of one in 9,302.

CAN YOU BELIEVE THAT RATE???? THE VLAD SAYS F###### UNBELIEVABLE!!!!

WHERE IS THE FDA WHEN WE NEED THEM TO PROTECT US FROM AN UNSAFE DRUG????



To: Tunica Albuginea who wrote (20786)4/26/1999 1:50:00 AM
From: Tunica Albuginea  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 23519
 
4 - 26 - 99 :UPDATED Erectile Dysfunction NEWS & WORLD REPORT

MISCELLANEOUS MEDICAL/INVESTMENT INFO FOR NEW VIVUS INVESTORS;
=============================================================

...\\\\|////
...\\ ~ ~ //
..( @ @ )
._oOOo_\_^__oOOo__

It's ok, VVUS, we all gotta be 40 someday.
Yes, and even more.
Frostman Oct 3 1997 : #531
Message 2352631

============================================================

EDITORIAL

Why are Viagra sales falling?
Why are MUSE and Alibra hot on the heels to take over?

~~~~~~~~~~~~

This editorial begins by addressing our faithfully long contributor VLAD. We first wish him some well deserved rest. Then we ask him to reconsider after he's good and rested to reconsider posting in Vivus SI thread. We ask him that he disregard taunts by well-placed shorts and instead focus on the prize.
The prize of course is a rethinking in the ED market of previously assumed positions on efficacy and safety of the main 2 drugs: MUSE and Viagra because this will ultimately affect the positions taken by Vivus long investors.
First off as far as efficacy, it is clear that Viagra is not what it was supposed to be: In fact sales increase is flat:

"PFE disappointed with news that sales of anti-impotence drug Viagra fell to $193 million, down 18 percent from fourth quarter 1998 revenues of $236 million.
techstocks.com

Secondly concern is now rising about its safety, which may be the 2nd reason why Viagra sales are declining. Here is from a recent Viagra review in Newsday by Kathleen Kerr

" The largest concern, however, has been the132 men in the United
States who died after taking the drug, as of November, according to the FDA………
….As a result, the FDA ordered a labeling change for the drug noting
that people with a history of heart attack, severely low blood pressure or other heart
disease should be examined by a physician before using the pill…….
………Still, the FDA has refused Newsday's requests for more up-to-date
figures on deaths and other adverse side effects associated with Viagra. It is the
agency's policy, an FDA spokesman said, not to release those figures without a
Freedom of Information request.

Message 9024660

It appears that what we have here is a classical case of the Clinton-style, delay,deny and deceive.
Message 9139347

132 deaths from May 98 to Nov 98 extrapolates to an additional 86 cases from Dec 98 to April 99
for a total of 224 cases, or 4 deaths a week, as I predicted 1 year ago. And yet the FDA is stonewalling .,
. That is now equal to the No of deaths caused by Posicor ( ROCHE ) which forced it's withdrawal.

The question that Vivus investors need to ask is this:
- how high will Vivus go on the day these new deaths are announced?
- How high will Vivus go when sales take off as Urologists will be forced to prescribe a more effective and safe drug?

Remember, last week Caterpillar recovered the entire decline of the previous 2 years . So when a stock like Vivus ( can we call it cyclical? <G> ) takes off, I think the rise can be pretty fast to > than 10 or 20 thanks to a nice short squeeze.

So the key here is patience. The news of the deaths will be sudden and out of the blue. However the hand writing is now on the wall: Viagra sales dipping . This was not a good erection. Last week PFE fell like an
………… impotent stock? The market has spoken, We are now waiting for the FDA and the courts,

TA

Previous reference: Message 8999998

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

A))) RECENT MEDICAL ARTICLES ON VIVUS/MUSE:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

1)from the forhtcoming 5/99 American Urological meeting:

a} Does Renewed Sexual Activity Increase Cardiac Morbidity? Meta-Analysis of the
Experience With MUSE® (Alprostadil) : Answer:
auanet.org
b} Gene therapy for ED. A Vivus study. (Vivus at the forefront of ED research; gg Vivus ).

First study : auanet.org
Second study : auanet.org

c } Induction of Penile Erection by Intracavernosal and Transurethral Administration of
Zaprinast
and Prostaglandin auanet.org

d } EFFECTIVENESS OF COMBINATION THERAPY OF MUSE AND VIAGRA IN THE
SALVAGE OF ERECTILE DYSFUNCTION PATIENTS DESIRING NONINVASIVE
THERAPY auanet.org

[PS Do not forget this important, landmark, abstract in last year's AUA meeeting: This is Vivus' new magnum bullett - drug! ]
( GREATER )Efficacy Of Transurethral Alprostadil (MUSE®) VS. Transurethral
Alprostadil/Prazosin (AlibraTM) In Men with Complete, Organic Erectile Dysfunction
vivus.com

B)) OLDER SCIENTIFIC ARTICLES ON MUSE/VIVUS:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
( Courtesy of VLAD ) : Message 8441310

C)) )The VIVUS COMPETITION :
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
VIAGRA:
April 1999 : Sildenafil (Viagra) and Ophthalmology
Editorial, by Michael F. Marmor, MD, Professor, Dept. of
Ophthalmology ,
Stanford University.
ama-assn.org.

Older ( but still valid ), articles on VIAGRA side effects
Tunica, March 16, 1998 -Phosphodiesterase ( PDE ) sideeffects from Goodman &
Gillman 1996 ED.Textbook of pharmacology.
www3.techstocks.com
www3.techstocks.com
July 5, 1998 Message 5100265

D)))TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Equities by Barchart.com : " Vivus, a Buy ".
www3.techstocks.com
equities.barchart.com

VIVUS INC

Symbol: VVUS Exchange: NASDAQ Quick Links: Quote / Chart

Date Open High Low Last Change Volume
04/16/99 6.00 6.00 5.00 5.03 +0.53 7645500

Composite Indicators
Trend Spotter (tm) buy

Short Term Indicators
7 Day Directional Indicators buy
10 - 8 Moving Average Hilo Channel buy
Price vs. 20 Day Moving Average buy
20 - 50 Day MACD Oscillator buy
20 Day Bollinger Bands buy
--- ---- ----
short term indicators average - 100% buy

Medium Term Indicators
40 Day Commodity Channel Index buy
Price vs. 50 Day Moving Average buy
20 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator buy
50 Day Parabolic Time/Price buy
--- ---- ----
medium term indicators average - 100% buy

Long Term Indicators
60 Day Commodity Channel Index buy
Price vs. 100 Day Moving Average buy
50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator buy
--- ---- ----
long term indicators average - 100% buy

Overall Indicators Average - 100% buy

E)))INSTITUTIONAL holdings of VIVUS:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Message 8458764

F))))BIGGEST MUTUAL FUND HOLDINGS OF VIVUS:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Message 8458807

G)))PATENTS:
XXXXXXXXXX

1)ALIBRA PATENT:
Message 8512358

2)FEMALE ED PATENT:
Message 8200535

H)))THE FUTURE!!!!

Check out new study Vivus is preparing in Italy with DrGreco Ermanno ( as you may remember, dr Greco last year published a report on MUSE as being " ineffective " because it was unable to produce an erection strong enough to sustain a 2 pound weight ):
Vivus now intends to better that standard with Alibra. Here is the new standard , reportedly, it will be a Lamborghini)
Message 3311743

TA