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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marginmike who wrote (27463)4/19/1999 3:21:00 PM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
if a company has a 35 growth rate then its worth 35 times earnings.

Used to be, lately it's been double. You can argue forever with people on these threads about this. ( And get nowhere, of course!)

A lot of us think a "Gorilla" like Qualcomm, who will be the "rulemaker" in this business, is always undervalued by the market and should carry a higher PE.

All of the is "Gas", of course, the market will decide what the company is worth!



To: marginmike who wrote (27463)4/19/1999 3:32:00 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
share price is function of growth rate, interest rates, sensitivity to cycles

if PE equaled growth, then Campbells Soup, Gillette, Coke, etc would trade at 1/4 current price... each has 5-15% sales growth... most astonishing to me is Lucent with 14% growth and 100PE

lower climate of interest rates dictates an exponentially growing multiple to earnings, NOT LINEAR, using same mathematics as bond principal values... yesterday's prevailing higher rates tested the limits with PE's in 12-17 range, supported by book value... rates back in 1960's were a different era... baby boomers have changed the landscape altogether with mutual funds, estate trusts, personal IRA's, pension funds, and fat savings

today's prevailing rates seem to be linked with PE's of 25-35 for non-anemic sales growth in 10-15% range... when growth exceeding 40% such as theQ, a PE well above 30-40 is certainly justified

finally, wireless is not a cyclic dust-covered business tied at the hip to the ravaging cycles (like cars, steel, basic metals, disk drives, memory, chemicals)... the nimble techs move quickly, and are not in this sorry class

/ jim