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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (25477)4/20/1999 8:14:00 AM
From: LABMAN  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
whisper of the day

Ticker:
or
Name:



Whisper Report
4/19/99
Super Tuesday

Brokerages

As we mentioned last week, the brokerage firms and online brokerage firms should report the
biggest earnings surprises this earnings season. However, though the analysts have been very
optimistic about the performance of the brokerage firms, these same analysts have been fairly quiet
about E*Trade (EGRP). Still, the overall expectation is for E*Trade to report a loss of $0.12 on
Tuesday, which is four cents better then the consensus estimate and one cent better than the highest
officially reported estimate. The lowest estimate is for a loss of $0.23 per share. Last quarter,
E*Trade met the whisper number and beat estimates by six cents on a pre-split basis, but this was
the first positive surprise in over a year. Therefore, the four cent expected surprise is a significant
expectation.

Computer and Software

Analysts are fairly optimistic about Microsoft's (MSFT) earnings as well, especially after the
previous quarter's blockbuster surprise. However, the analysts are concerned about the upcoming
quarters because of the Year 2000. The analysts will be looking for signs of a slowdown and will be
watching revenues more than earnings. The analysts basically expect revenues to be around $4.3
billion. For earnings, the consensus estimate is $0.32 and our whisper number is $0.35. The top
estimate is $0.37 and the low is $0.28; however, there are even a few that believe earnings will be
closer to $0.40. You may listen to Microsoft's conference call at
webevents.broadcast.com or (800) 568-6364 with the passcode of
1017 beginning at 5:30 PM EST.

Analysts are mixed about EMC's (EMC) results for the quarter, but overall are fairly bullish.
EMC's estimates have been lowered during the quarter, with the current consensus being $0.39.
Our whisper number is $0.40, with some whispering $0.41. However, there have also been
whispers of $0.39 for the quarter. Long-term, the analysts feel EMC will outperform, and the stock
is currently $50 below most target prices. Salomon Smith Barney was the latest to set a target price
of $150 for the company, when they reiterated a "Buy" rating on Monday. You may listen to
EMC's conference call at (703) 925-2435 with the passcode 1418725.

You shouldn't expect too much of a surprise from PeopleSoft (PSFT) on Tuesday. On March 31st
the company warned that revenues would be basically flat to a possible 10% increase over the
previous year's. (Press Release) The analysts immediately cut their estimates from $0.12 to $0.02.
On top of that, PeopleSoft hasn't beaten earnings estimates since last summer, and the analysts
really don't expect it now - even after the lowered estimates. The top estimate is $0.07, the low
estimate is for a loss of $0.03, and the whisper number equals the consensus estimate of $0.02.
Beginning at 6:00 PM EST on Tuesday, you may listen to the conference call at
nasdaq-amex.com

There is almost a unanimous expectation for Texas Instruments (TXN) (and many other technology
stocks). Analysts from PaineWebber, Soundview, Fahnestock & Co, Everen Securities, Salomon
Smith Barney, and others all basically say that earnings will meet or slightly beat estimates, but
revenues may be light.

Tobacco

If you want to watch a stock that will likely miss the estimates, we suggest Phillip Morris (MO).
The analysts have continually lowered their expectations of Phillip Morris recently. We currently
have a whisper number that is inline with the consensus estimate of $0.81, however the trend has
been going down. The whispers from just the past few days have been for Phillip Morris to report
numbers closer to $0.79 per share. CS First Boston, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, Brown
Brothers, and others have all spoken negatively recently, including Joseph Abbott from I/B/E/S
International on Monday.

Internet

The major Internet company reporting earnings on Tuesday is RealNetworks (RNWK). There is
little doubt among the six analysts following RealNetworks that they will at least meet the consensus
estimate of a $0.02 loss, but most believe the Company will surprise. Our whisper number is a loss
of $0.01, but there have been recent suggestions that the company will break even (or possibly have
a possible gain). Still, the "consensus" whisper is for a $0.01 loss. The conference call can be heard
at (800) 633-8284 with the passcode of 12104856. It will also likely be on the Internet at
real.com.

You may view each day's earnings surprises at stockselector.com

The Whisper Report is an EarningsWhispers.com
syndication that contains information about upcoming
earnings reports, whisper numbers, and recent earnings
surprises. You may get the Whisper Report emailed to
you directly in HTML format by submitting the form to
your right.
Full Name:

Email Address:

EarningsWhispers.com does not officially meet with the management of any company nor do we perform any
type of true fundamental analysis. We merely follow stock rumors and estimates. Whisper numbers, regardless
of the source, should not be relied on for investment purposes and should be used for informational and
entertainment purposes only.

© Copyright 1999, EarningsWhispers.com

lm



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (25477)4/20/1999 4:36:00 PM
From: LABMAN  Respond to of 50167
 
MSFT NEW RELEASE

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[ Business | US Market | By Industry | IPO | AP | S&P | International | PRNews | BizWire ]

Tuesday April 20, 4:15 pm Eastern Time

Company Press Release

SOURCE: Microsoft Corp.

Microsoft Announces Strong
Quarterly Revenue and Income

Breadth of Product Line Successes Drives Results

(All prior share and per share amounts have been restated to reflect the
two-for-one stock split in March 1999.)

REDMOND, Wash., April 20 /PRNewswire/ -- Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT - news) today
announced net income of $1.92 billion and diluted earnings per share of $0.35 for the quarter
ended March 31, 1999, a 40 percent increase over the $0.25 diluted earnings per share reported
for the corresponding quarter last year. Revenue totaled $4.33 billion, a 15 percent increase over
the $3.77 billion for the comparable quarter last year.

Reported revenue does not include unearned revenue of $400 million related to the Microsoft®
Office 2000 Technology Guarantee, which will be recognized in coming quarters, as required by
generally accepted accounting principles. The Company also realized investment gains of more
than $350 million during the quarter.

''Microsoft had solid performance across all product lines, but the brightest spots were the
continued migration to Windows NT® Workstation, strong demand for Office despite the
impending upgrade, and the strength of our server applications. Results in Asia were also much
improved,'' said Greg Maffei, chief financial officer. ''However, we remain guarded about growth
in 1999, given the likelihood that organizations will lock down their systems infrastructures due to
year 2000 concerns.''

''Microsoft SQL Server(TM) 7.0 is off to a fabulous start,'' said Paul Maritz, group vice
president, Developer Group. ''Corporate customers and applications developers are choosing
SQL Server 7.0 for their database server needs, and licenses of SQL Server increased more than
50 percent over the comparable quarter of the prior year.''

The English version of Microsoft Office 2000 was released to manufacturing in March, is shipping
to volume license customers worldwide in April, and will be broadly available in the US retail
channel on June 10. The latest version of the Company's flagship productivity suite makes the Web
work for users by streamlining the process of working with people and information, and introduces
applications that intelligently repair themselves and adapt to personal usage patterns, making them
easier to use and manage.

In March, Microsoft released the latest version of Internet Explorer, the award-winning browser
technology. Microsoft Internet Explorer version 5 is the fastest full-featured browser available
today and is the only browser to include IntelliSense® technology to make browsing the Web
easier than ever. Internet Explorer 5 software provides an open platform for software vendors and
Web content providers through its support for Web standards and rich extensibility options. Also
integrated into Internet Explorer 5 is the Microsoft Windows Media(TM) player, providing
customers with easy access to the most compelling audio and video content on the Web.

Also in March, the Company announced a comprehensive strategy for e-commerce, including
Microsoft BizTalk, a new cross-platform e-commerce XML-based framework enabling
business-to-business commerce over the Internet. More than one million Internet sites already use
Windows NT Server, according to an April NetCraft survey of Internet web sites. Windows NT
Server is the platform for BizTalk Server, a forthcoming Microsoft product supporting the BizTalk
framework. Also, a December Intelliquest study indicated that Windows NT Server is the leading
intranet platform, running on 47 percent of corporate intranets.

Microsoft released the latest version of the Windows® CE operating system for the Palm-size PC
-- the first to enable color -- in February. Although similar in functionality to Palm-size PC
software that is shipping in devices today, the color-enabled release of Windows CE for the
Palm-size PC brings an unmatched clarity to device screens, increasing the readability on these
compact, portable devices.

This press release contains statements that are forward-looking. These statements are based on
current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results will vary because of
factors such as PC shipment growth; technological shifts; customer demand; competitive products
and pricing; product mix; product ship schedules; life cycles; the impact that year 2000 issues may
have on demand for Microsoft's products and services; terms and conditions; litigation; and other
issues discussed in the Company's Form 10-K.

Founded in 1975, Microsoft is the worldwide leader in software for personal computers. The
Company offers a wide range of products and services for business and personal use, each
designed with the mission of making it easier and more enjoyable for people to take advantage of
the full power of personal computing every day.

NOTE: Microsoft, IntelliSense, Windows, Windows Media, and Windows NT are either
registered trademarks or trademarks of Microsoft Corp. in the United States and/or other
countries.

Microsoft Corporation

Income Statements

(In millions, except earnings per share)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Mar. 31 Mar. 31
1998 1999 1998 1999

Revenue $3,774 $4,331 $10,489 $13,222
Operating expenses:
Cost of revenue 317 350 883 1,090
Research and development 597 611 1,791 1,889
Acquired in-process technology 0 0 296 0
Sales and marketing 829 996 2,493 2,766
General and administrative 104 144 305 392
Other expenses 60 1 181 60
Total operating expenses 1,907 2,102 5,949 6,197
Operating income 1,867 2,229 4,540 7,025
Investment income 190 720 489 1,318
Gain on sale 0 0 0 160
Income before income taxes 2,057 2,949 5,029 8,503
Provision for income taxes 720 1,032 1,896 2,920
Net income $1,337 $1,917 $ 3,133 $ 5,583

Earnings per share (A):
Basic $ 0.27 $ 0.38 $ 0.64 $ 1.11
Diluted $ 0.25 $ 0.35 $ 0.59 $ 1.02

(A) Earnings per share for the three and nine months ended March 31, 1998
have been restated to reflect a two-for-one stock split in March 1999.

Microsoft Corporation
Channel and Product Group Revenue
(In millions)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Mar. 31 Mar. 31
1998 1999 1998 1999
Channels
South Pacific and
Americas Region $1,256 $1,331 $ 3,543 $ 4,344
Europe, Middle East,
and Africa Region 897 932 2,457 2,969
Asia Region 388 475 1,061 1,155
OEM 1,233 1,593 3,428 4,754
Total revenue $3,774 $4,331 $10,489 $13,222

Product groups
Platforms $1,626 $2,053 $ 4,570 $ 6,299
Applications and Tools 1,868 1,937 4,977 5,799
Interactive Media and Other 280 341 942 1,124
Total revenue $3,774 $4,331 $10,489 $13,222

Microsoft Corporation
Balance Sheets
(In millions)

June 30, 1998 Mar. 31, 1999
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and short-term investments $13,927 $21,761
Accounts receivable 1,460 1,689
Other 502 608
Total current assets 15,889 24,058
Property and equipment 1,505 1,445
Equity investments 4,703 7,474
Other assets 260 584
Total assets $22,357 $33,561

Liabilities and stockholders' equity
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable $ 759 $ 1,016
Accrued compensation 359 289
Income taxes payable 915 1,347
Unearned revenue 2,888 4,195
Other 809 992
Total current liabilities 5,730 7,839
Stockholders' equity:
Convertible preferred stock 980 980
Common stock and paid-in capital 8,025 12,418
Retained earnings 7,622 12,324
Total stockholders' equity 16,627 25,722
Total liabilities and
stockholders' equity $22,357 $33,561

SOURCE: Microsoft Corp.

More Quotes and News:
Microsoft Corp (Nasdaq:MSFT - news)
Related News Categories: computers, earnings, internet, ISDEX, software

Help

Copyright © 1999 PRNewswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is
expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any
errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.
See our Important Disclaimers and Legal Information.
Questions or Comments?
LM



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (25477)4/20/1999 9:44:00 PM
From: LABMAN  Respond to of 50167
 
FROM CBS MKT WATCH



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Silicon Stocks

Tech stocks charge back
Microsoft profit beats estimates after market close

By Cecily Fraser, CBS MarketWatch
Last Update: 7:03 PM ET Apr 20, 1999
Tech Report
Internet Daily

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- A surge by Internet and computer hardware
shares sent technology stocks soaring in a rally that could stretch into
Wednesday on the back of better-than-expected earnings by Microsoft.

On Tuesday, the Pacific Stock Exchange
Technology Index rose 2.5 percent, while the
Morgan Stanley Technology Index of blue-chip
tech issues climbed 2.1 percent.

The Nasdaq 100, which includes many top tech
stocks, jumped 3.2 percent.

In the broader market, the Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 64.03
points to 2409.64, rebounding from Monday's session when the
tech-heavy index logged its second-biggest point loss ever. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average gained 8.02 points to 10,448.55.

After the market closed, Microsoft (MSFT: news, msgs) posted
third-quarter earnings of 35 cents a share, 3 cents ahead of analysts'
expectations. Revenue totaled $4.33 billion, up 15 percent from $3.77
billion last year. Before the release, Microsoft shares closed up 2 1/8 to
83 1/8. See full story.

The software giant's report may provide some
direction to the technology sector following some
negative surprises from other industry bellwethers.

"Microsoft's earnings could potentially provide
some relief to the leaders who have been beaten up
pretty badly," said Ed Gjertsen, a principal at Mack
Investments in Glenview, Ill.

In the past few weeks, Compaq (CPQ: news,
msgs) warned it will earn just half of what Wall
Street expected, while chipmaker Intel (INTC:
news, msgs) posted lower-than-expected sales.

On the heels of Microsoft's robust report, a few cyber companies also
came forward with better-than-expected figures. Online direct marketing
company Xoom.com (XMCM: news, msgs) posted a
narrower-than-expected loss of 24 cents a share, two cents ahead of the
consensus estimate of analysts. Quarterly revenues grew to $4.4 million,
an increase of 421 percent from the year-ago period. See full story.
Shares rose 2 3/4 to 70 1/4.

RealNetworks (RNWK: news, msgs), another Web concern, said its
quarterly revenues shot up 88 percent to $23.5 million. Its first-quarter
loss was 2 cents a share, a penny ahead of expectations. RealNetworks
also said it plans to split its stock 2-for-1. Ahead of the news, shares
zoomed up 52 7/16 to 181 1/16.

Chip equpment maker Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC: news, msgs) also
cruised past Wall Street's expectations with fourth quarter earnings of 49
cents a share, 2 cents above the consensus estimate from First Call.
Shares advanced 1 3/16 to 47 11/16 before the news.

Meanwhile, Teradyne (TER: news, msgs) said first-quarter revenue was
$344.5 million, down from the year-ago quarter of $431.6 million.
Earnings per share for the quarter were a penny better than analysts
expected. Shares of the company gained 2 3/8 to 53 1/2 ahead of the
news.

On the downside, software company PeopleSoft (PSFT: news, msgs)
said its first-quarter earnings were 3 cents a share, down from 13 cents a
share last year. Ahead of the release, shares shrugged off 1/16 to 12 1/8.
See news release.

For other after-the-bell reports, see Earnings Surprises

Net surge

The earnings news followed a session in which investors saw energy
emerge from the cyber group as the Goldman Sachs Internet Index shot
ahead 8.7 percent, while the Amex Internet Index gained 7.7 percent.
Both indexes recovered ground from the worst daily loss ever for Web
stocks on Monday.

Ken Winston, an analyst at Needham & Co. said the recent sell-off
among Net stocks may have created a buying opportunity, as happened in
January. "Investors who bought the stocks after the January decline are up
by over 80 percent, despite the recent 34 percent correction," he said in a
note to clients.

Winston attributed the sell-off to investors who
tend to buy ahead of earnings reports and then sell
the stocks as the numbers come out. "This
happened just about every quarter in 1998," he
said.

Well-known Net stocks were flying high
Tuesday. America Online (AOL: news, msgs) was
up 12 13/16 to 128 11/16, while Amazon.com
(AMZN: news, msgs) shares gained 13 1/16 to
172. Yahoo (YHOO: news, msgs) shares zoomed
up 7 5/16 to 171. Shares of Excite (EXIT: news,
msgs) surged 21 to 129 1/2.

E-Trade (EGRP: news, msgs) shares rose 16 to 89
13/16 after the online broker posted a
narrower-than-expected second-quarter loss. See
related story.

PC makers lead hardware charge

The Goldman Sachs Computer Hardware Index rose 3.3 percent.
Compaq Computer (CPQ: news, msgs) shares were up 1 1/4 to 24. The
personal computer maker will report first-quarter earnings Wednesday
before the market opens. The company told investors last week that its
earnings would amount to 15 cents a share. See related story.

Meqnwhile, Internet media company CNet (CNET:
news, msgs) said it signed an advertising deal with
Compaq, Dell Computer (DELL: news, msgs),
Gateway (GTW: news, msgs) and Acer America
Corp. See news release.

Dell shares rose 2 3/4 to 38 3/16, and Gateway
climbed 2 to 61 1/2.

Sun Microsystems (SUNW: news, msgs) also was
beaming: Shares shot up 4 1/4 to 54 3/8.

EMC Corp. (EMC: news, msgs) reported
first-quarter earnings of 41 cents a share, beating
the First Call survey estimate by a penny. The storage system specialist's
stock was up 3/4 to 102 3/16.

Texas Instruments beat estimates

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 1.4 percent, thanks partly to
a rise in the shares of Intel (INTC: news, msgs), up 1 1/16 to 59 9/16.
LSI Logic (LSI: news, msgs) shares added 3 1/8 to 35 3/4 after the
company said it earned 8 cents a share during the first quarter, beating the
First Call consensus estimate by 3 cents.

Texas Instruments (TXN: news, msgs) shares slipped 5 to 100 after the
chipmaker said revenue fell to $2.04 billion in the first quarter from $2.19
billion in the first quarter of last year. TI's operating earnings were 4 cents
ahead of the First Call consensus estimate.

Software concern Citrx Systems (CTXS: news, msgs) also beat analysts'
expectations. The company said it earned 30 cents a share, excluding
one-time charges. Wall Street analysts expected the company to earn 27
cents. The stock bolted 4 points higher to 34 1/4 and helped send the
CBOE Software Index up 1.1 percent.

The Amex Networking Index rose 2.1 percent amid a rise in shares of
telecommunications giant Lucent Technologies (LU: news, msgs), which
was up 1 7/8 to 54 1/4. Lucent is scheduled to report second-quarter
earnings Thursday.

Meanwhile, 3Com (COMS: news, msgs) shares advanced 2 1/2 to 22
15/16. Ascend Communications (ASND: news, msgs) rose 4 1/2 to 85
9/16. Cisco Systems (CSCO: news, msgs) rose 1 9/16 to 101 9/16 on
heavy volume.

Cecily Fraser is a reporter for CBS MarketWatch.



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Back to Yahoo!

LM



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (25477)4/20/1999 10:48:00 PM
From: the options strategist  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
Ike, thanks for responding. I agree that a correction is good and healthy and since I'm not into the nets I'm waiting for the moves
into broader areas.

Do you think this is good timing for oils and what other areas do you think are good plays (short term) -other than internets-at this time?

Jen



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (25477)4/20/1999 11:54:00 PM
From: MARK C.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
Hello Ike, Do you look for the below scenario to continue ?

In January of this year, short-term interest rates dropped below the 4.5% discount rate, and indeed for about two weeks the Value-Line index dramatically outperformed the S&P 500. But then as February arrived the t-bill rate moved back up and those top-10 big caps took off again, leaving the rest of the market once again stuttering and stammering. The same exact pattern occurred in that October low of last fall--once again motivated by lower short-term interest rates. But as soon as those rates started moving back up the broad market stalled and the large-cap dominance returned.

I ask because to me it seems that the cream of the crop of US companies are being placated by the Fed enabling them to garner market share throughout the world while the getting is good and we are in a position to bargain ( and I use the word losely) from a position of undeniable supremacy. As time goes by we will transfer more and more of our industrial capacity abroad as our economy becomes more and more technology based. Yet why lose more revenue than necessary when we can take advantage of others economic woes and help them build up their economies by franchising our factories and manufacturing to them. I don't want to make this post to long, I am just wondering if I was on the right track here or way off base in your opinion. Tia, MarkC.



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (25477)4/21/1999 10:18:00 AM
From: nicewatch  Respond to of 50167
 
Ike and ALL, abbreviated chart update - I would have done it last night, except my FTP wasn't working.

geocities.com -SPX

geocities.com -SPX2

geocities.com -july beans

geocities.com - june crude

As always feel free to comment or throw stones. FWIW, talk to you later

Regards,

Frank