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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: donald sew who wrote (11558)	4/20/1999 10:43:00 AM
From: Les H	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

NATO expected to decide on ground invasion at summit By Steve Rodan SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM Tuesday, April 20, 1999 NATO is expected to decide during its summit in Washington this weekend to prepare for a ground invasion of Kosovo, a senior European official said. The official, who did not want to be identified, said increasing pressure is being placed on the United States and Britain for an invasion of Kosovo over the next month in an attempt to "get this whole thing over with." The official said NATO members on the European continent are concerned that their economies would be damaged should NATO's bombing campaign continue through the summer. In addition, the official said, NATO's allies in the Balkans, such as Macedonia and Croatia, want the campaign to end. Both countries have granted air rights to NATO planes on their way to bombing missions in Yugoslavia. "From a humanitarian point of view, the support continues for the NATO operation," the official said. "But from the strategic point of view in terms of the future of Yugoslavia, there is more and more concern. That's why everybody would like this to end as soon as possible, even if it means a ground attack." The official said NATO can no longer insist on less than a capitulation of Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic. He said if Milosevic obtains an unconditional ceasefire he will hail this as the "greatest victory in Serbian history." About 12,000 NATO troops are currently in Macedonia. NATO Secretary General Javier Solana reiterated that the alliance has no plans to invade Yugoslavia. But he added, "If the moment comes when it is necessary I'm sure the countries that belong to NATO will be ready to do it." On Sunday, the British newspaper Observer reported that NATO is making plans for a ground invasion of Kosovo as early as the end of May. The newspaper reported that about 80,000 troops have been allocated for the mission. The Observer said American troops have begun training in Colorado as part of a plan to complete NATO's operations in Yugoslavia by July. A NATO source told the newspaper, "We are no longer talking about simply sending peacekeeping troops into an entirely permissive environment."

To: donald sew who wrote (11558)	4/20/1999 11:09:00 AM
From: OldAIMGuy	Respond to of 99985

Hi DS, I designed my own market monitor data to compliment the investment algorithm that I use. It had been High Risk last fall and briefly in February, but recently had been in the Average Risk range. This last week, however, its oscillator took a big spike up. When combining the value of the oscillator and the basic risk indicator I am again getting an early warning sign for high risk in the market. Of the four components that I use, one is bullish, one neutral, and two are bearish. I really only get concerned with all four are bearish, but this kind of signal usually means a flat market for a while. Usually consolidation. Parts of the market get ahead of themselves and the rest have to adjust accordingly. Here's the graphs of my indicator - called lovingly the Idiot Wave: execpc.com This address will bring up the four individual components: execpc.com and this address brings up the data for the most recent week: execpc.com Older weekly reports can be accessed as well to get a feel for what's going on. Hope this helps a bit. The Hi/Low Logic index that I calculate for the NASDAQ indicates confusion. This is usually a short term bearish sign. My Best/Worst index is still showing lots of speculation, but that will be tempered with yesterday's internet bashing. Surprising to me is that what I term Relative Valuation is neutral right now. Also, what I term Zeal is in Bullish territory and has been for quite some time. This measure looks at whether the number of issues on the market is expanding or contracting. It's been contracting for quite some time, which is good for the market. I welcome any comments. Best regards, Tom