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To: Tony Viola who wrote (18228)4/21/1999 4:34:00 PM
From: patrick tang  Respond to of 25814
 
<OT> Tony, my view on DRAMs:

We've still got one more round to go wrt price cuts on DRAM. Need to squeeze out one last big guy before we'll are through with this game of chicken. My guess is this is the last round before LG bows. The 1.3 semi-equipment today does not help for DRAMs, especially if LG ordered a bunch of equipment from the money they got in when the price was $10.

Japanese out pretty much out and the Taiwanese are playing another game altogather with cash. So it's up to the big three now.

Intel says will support 133mHz SDRAM by fall for PIII 600, so there goes those 0.21um RAMBUS that wouldn't meet 800mHz speed. By the time 0.18um RAMBUS meets that, we'll get 0.18um 266mHz DDR, so why pay 40% premium for Rambus? My guess is by the end of the year, we'll have a glut on Rambus, too much supply and not too much demand.

patrick



To: Tony Viola who wrote (18228)4/21/1999 4:36:00 PM
From: Moonray  Respond to of 25814
 
Yes, too bad about MU. Only $SOX stock to be down today:
cbs.marketwatch.com

Ruined this perfectly story:

Chip, hardware shares get healthy rise
CBS MarketWatch - Last Update: 2:17 PM ET Apr 21, 1999

Investors react to passel of profit news; await IBM release
NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Hardware and chip stocks bolted higher
Wednesday as the market casts its vote on Compaq earnings, gets
ready for IBM's results and appeared to agree with semiconductor
booking figures.

Every semiconductor stock in the the Philadelphia
Semiconductor Index, which tracks 16 chip and chip-equipment
makers, was up Wednesday afternoon as the index rose 6.9 percent,
seemingly on news from the Semiconductor Equipment and Materials
International.
The trade association reported that North
American-based semiconductor equipment manufacturers saw a
14 percent increase in worldwide bookings for March 1999 to
$1.15 billion vs. $1.01 billion in February. See press release.
The March 1998 level was $1.1 billion.

LSI Logic (LSI: news, msgs) shares added 1 5/8 to 37 3/8 in
recent trading after the company said it earned 8 cents a share in
the first quarter, beating the First Call consensus estimate by 3
cents. See press release and Silicon Stocks. Mark Edelstone, an
analyst at Morgan Stanley, reiterated his "strong buy" rating on
the company.


cbs.marketwatch.com

o~~~ O



To: Tony Viola who wrote (18228)4/21/1999 4:38:00 PM
From: patrick tang  Respond to of 25814
 
<OT> DRAMs

By the way, never touched MU - that's a game for the pros, not a newbie like myself. But if LG capitulates, I plan to be in MU big times at any price.

patrick