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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (32366)4/22/1999 8:52:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116770
 
S.Africa's Durban sees
post-election monetary
easing
10:49 a.m. Apr 22, 1999 Eastern

By Darren Schuettler

JOHANNESBURG, April 22
(Reuters) - Veteran South African
gold baron Roger Kebble said on
Thursday the mining industry stood
to benefit if president-in-waiting
Thabo Mbeki eased monetary
policy after elections in June.

''This election will be a watershed
for South Africa,'' said Kebble,
chairman of gold producers Durban
Roodepoort Deep (DURJ.J) and
Randgold & Exploration Co
(RNGJn.J).

Kebble predicted that Mbeki's
government would seek to make
South Africa a stronger,
export-driven economy by pushing
for substantial interest rate cuts and
a weaker local currency.

South African gold producers,
which sell their gold for dollars but
pay costs in rand, are major
benefactors of a lower domestic
currency.

The rand stood at 6.0870 per dollar
at 1440 GMT on Thursday.

''If they let the rand slide we would
become an export-driven
economy,'' Kebble told analysts at a
Durban Roodepoort results briefing,
adding that the rand could slip to
eight against the dollar after the
election.

The economy is a key issue in the
run-up to the country's second
all-race election on June 2 which
the ruling African National
Congress is set to win comfortably,
installing Mbeki as president in
place of the retiring Nelson
Mandela.

In its election manifesto released
last month, the ANC expressed its
desire for lower rates to boost
growth and job creation. But it did
not suggest the government would
risk an assault of the rand by
demanding a lower interest rate
regime.

Former labour minister Tito
Mboweni, who takes over at the
central bank on August 7, has said
the independence of the bank must
be preserved.

However, economists and business
leaders suggest Mboweni might be
more sympathetic to the desires of
his former ANC colleagues.

''I'm quite sure he (Mbeki) will
have a major influence on the
Reserve Bank,'' Kebble said. He
also expected Mbeki to take a more
''draconian'' stand on law and order
in South Africa where soaring
crime rates have threatened foreign
investment.

Durban Roodepoort was the
second major South African gold
producer to post favourable results
for the quarter to March 31.

Cash profit for the quarter rose
four percent to 18.8 million rand
($3.1 million) from 18.1 million rand
in the previous quarter to
December 31.

Gold output climbed six percent to
5,241 kg and is seen rising to 5,250
kg in the current quarter to June 30.
The forecast included 180 kg in lost
production from the Blyvoor mine
which suffered mechanical
problems last month.

Cash operating costs are seen
easing to $259/oz in the June
quarter from $260/oz in the March
period.

Kebble said Durban would continue
to hedge about 30 percent of its
700,000-ounce annual production in
the face of persistent weak gold
prices. He forecast a dollar gold
price of between $285-$290/oz for
the foreseeable future.

Gold Fields Mineral Services
(GFMS) said on Wednesday
sluggish world growth and negative
supply/demand fundamentals would
keep the price in a range of $265 to
$305 per ounce in 1999.

''Durban Deep at those levels
would still be robust and still stand
on its own for quite a while,'' said
Durban chief executive Mike
Prinsloo in reaction to the GFMS
forecast.

Prinsloo also said capital spending
would fall to 28 million rand in the
June quarter from 32 million rand in
March. He said the company was
planning a capital budget of around
15 million a quarter for the new
financial year starting July.

($ - 6.0870 rand)

((Johannesburg newsroom, 27 11
775 3155,
newsroom+reuters.co.za))

Copyright 1999 Reuters Limited.