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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jerry Olson who wrote (35998)4/23/1999 9:43:00 AM
From: ayahuasca  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 120523
 
wow that was some turn around in NSOL. now positive and moving up.



To: Jerry Olson who wrote (35998)4/23/1999 10:53:00 AM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 120523
 
COMS!!!!!!!...........To: Al Cano (29910 )
From: Mr.Fun
Friday, Apr 23 1999 8:47AM ET
Reply # of 29919

Some thoughts on 3Com:

1. Lucent will not be the buyer. It is in the process of divesting its consumer
business - Palm does not fit in LU's strategy. It is focused on top-line growth -
management has suggested that it would divest any businesses it didn't think could
sustain better than 10% growth - NICs and modems don't fit. It's microelectronics
business is 3Com's chief competitor in the modem business - together, they likely
would not pass DOJ scrutiny. The Total Control business is completely redundant to
Ascend and also would not pass DOJ.

2. I believe IBM is the best fit, but have no info that big blue is even interested. Any
other buyer would likely break up the company. Ericsson would divest NICs and
modems, as would Nokia or Siemens. HP would divest total control.

3. USR acquisition has created an unwieldly monster that is trying to move in four
separate directions. I understand morale in Skokie is awful and people are leaving
in droves. Does not speak well for the future of total control.

4. Nonetheless, 3Com is not Cabletron. There is significant underlying value that is
not being recognized in the current share price. However, managment really mislead
the analyst community while selling their own shares at an inflated price. 3Com is in
the penalty box. The price will not move up significantly without a real catalyst -
verifiable take-out offer, blow out quarter, etc.

5. Sooner or later, someone will make a serious offer - $35 or so - and/or 3Com will
deliver a couple of strong quarters. Then the stock will move up. I believe that it is
worth $40-45.

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