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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Amelia Carhartt who wrote (39691)	4/24/1999 4:32:00 PM
From: William H Huebl	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

WILL history repeat itself, MSB? That's the 64 trillion dollar question! Each time man goes through these financial calamities like the tulip mania and 1929, it seem man vows NOT to repeat history again. Then "good" old greed kicks in and we do it all over again with some other justification but always "this time it's different!" How do I plan to avoid this mistake??? Well I have been trying for over 20 years to find a "safe" investment program using options. My theory here is that as long as you go long options (don't initiate them or short them) you stand a chance to avoid the calamity. But my problem has been in finding a successful approach. Hope to remedy THAT very soon indeed with my current method. Bill

To: Amelia Carhartt who wrote (39691)	4/25/1999 10:40:00 AM
From: long-gone	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

How many times have we been told "They will all go up for ever."???? Investor backs off Internet stock buys Former money manager says only 10% of companies will last By Tim Quinson Bloomberg News BOSTON -- Michael Price, whose eye for bargain stocks made him one of the best money managers of the past 20 years, won't even consider buying an Internet stock. "Just one of every 10 Internet companies will still be in business in five years," said Price, 47, who stopped running mutual funds last November to manage his personal fortune. Price, who tries to buy stocks that are cheap in comparison with their companies' profits and net worth, said the prices of Internet shares "are through the roof." No doubt. America Online Inc., the benchmark Internet stock, trades at 33 times this fiscal year's revenue estimate of $4 billion. America Online shares look almost cheap compared with other high-flying Internet stocks such as Yahoo! Inc., which trades at 82 times revenue, and At Home Corp., which trades at more than 111 times revenue. "These companies probably have the critical mass to succeed, but many of the stocks we'll buy don't even trade at one times revenue," said Price, who still is chairman of Franklin Mutual Advisors Inc., where he made his mark. Price and other renowned investors such as Warren Buffett, chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., and John Neff, who manages his own money and part of an endowment for Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, are willingly missing the Internet craze that's earning huge returns for almost anyone who owns the stocks.(cont.) insidedenver.com