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Politics : Dutch Central Bank Sale Announcement Imminent? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (5511)4/24/1999 7:59:00 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Respond to of 81900
 
what are the implications for the dollar and our trade deficit?

Morgy,

Who holds those dollars?? The people who sold us the goods right?? The Chinese, the Japanese, the Europeans.... etc, right??

What are they going to spend those dollars on?? Where are they going to store those dollars where they will retain their value??

US T-Bills.. maybe?? US stocks?? And they will continue to do so until their economies recuperate and they find greater value in holding their own or some other competitive currency/asset.

I'm not saying that we can maintain such extensive trade deficits forever, but without it, the rest of the world would go to hell in a hand basket, lacking any market into which to sell their goods, and we'd be on the fast track to global depression.

As for wage inflation, compare the purchasing power of the average salaried worker of the early '60s to his purchasing power now.

And so long as productivity increases match the relative wage increases, equilibrium can be maintained. (according to Alan Greenspan). Greenspan watches wage inflation very closely from all indications I have read. Increased wages definitely have a long-term impact on inflation and that may be something that hurts us long-term.

That would definitely cause gold to increase in value, hike in interest rates, and a market "adjustment".

Regards,

Ron