The New York Times > >November 1, 1987, Sunday, Late City Final Edition >Section 1; Part 1, Page 14, Column 1; > >"In Yugoslavia, Rising Ethnic Strife Brings Fears of Worse Civil >Conflict" > >By DAVID BINDER, Special to the New York Times > >BELGRADE, Yugoslavia > >Portions of southern Yugoslavia have reached such a state of ethnic >friction that Yugoslavs have begun to talk of the horrifying >possibility of ''civil war'' in a land that lost one-tenth of its >population, or 1.7 million people, in World War II. > >The current hostilities pit separatist-minded ethnic Albanians against >the various Slavic populations of Yugoslavia and occur at all levels >of society, from the highest officials to the humblest peasants. > >A young Army conscript of ethnic Albanian origin shot up his barracks, >killing four sleeping Slavic bunkmates and wounding six others. > >The army says it has uncovered hundreds of subversive ethnic Albanian >cells in its ranks. Some arsenals have been raided. > >Vicious Insults > >Ethnic Albanians in the Government have manipulated public funds and >regulations to take over land belonging to Serbs. And politicians have >exchanged vicious insults. > >Slavic Orthodox churches have been attacked, and flags have been torn >down. Wells have been poisoned and crops burned. Slavic boys have been >knifed, and some young ethnic Albanians have been told by their elders >to rape Serbian girls. > >Ethnic Albanians comprise the fastest growing nationality in >Yugoslavia and are expected soon to become its third largest, after >the Serbs and Croats. > >Radicals' Goals > >The goal of the radical nationalists among them, one said in an >interview, is an ''ethnic Albania that includes western Macedonia, >southern Montenegro, part of southern Serbia, Kosovo and Albania >itself.'' That includes large chunks of the republics that make up the >southern half of Yugoslavia. > >Other ethnic Albanian separatists admit to a vision of a greater >Albania governed from Pristina in southern Yugoslavia rather than >Tirana, the capital of neighboring Albania. > >There is no evidence that the hard-line Communist Government in >Tirana is giving them material assistance. > >The principal battleground is the region called Kosovo, a high plateau >ringed by mountains that is somewhat smaller than New Jersey. Ethnic >Albanians there make up 85 percent of the population of 1.7 million. >The rest are Serbians and Montenegrins. > >Worst Strife in Years > >As Slavs flee the protracted violence, Kosovo is becoming what ethnic >Albanian nationalists have been demanding for years, and especially >strongly since the bloody rioting by ethnic Albanians in Pristina in >1981 - an ''ethnically pure'' Albanian region, a ''Republic of Kosovo'' >in all but name. > >The violence, a journalist in Kosovo said, is escalating to ''the >worst in the last seven years.'' > >Many Yugoslavs blame the troubles on the ethnic Albanians, but the >matter is more complex in a country with as many nationalities and >religions as Yugoslavia's and involves economic development, law, >politics, families and flags. As recently as 20 years ago, the Slavic >majority treated ethnic Albanians as inferiors to be employed as >hewers of wood and carriers of heating coal. The ethnic Albanians, >who now number 2 million, were officially deemed a minority, not a >constituent nationality, as they are today. > >Were the ethnic tensions restricted to Kosovo, Yugoslavia's problems >with its Albanian nationals might be more manageable. But some >Yugoslavs and some ethnic Albanians believe the struggle has spread >far beyond Kosovo. Macedonia, a republic to the south with a >population of 1.8 million, has a restive ethnic Albanian minority >of 350,000. > >''We've already lost western Macedonia to the Albanians,'' said a >member of the Yugoslav party presidium, explaining that the ethnic >minority had driven the Slavic Macedonians out of the region. > >Attacks on Slavs > >Last summer, the authorities in Kosovo said they documented 40 ethnic >Albanian attacks on Slavs in two months. In the last two years, 320 >ethnic Albanians have been sentenced for political crimes, nearly >half of them characterized as severe. > >In one incident, Fadil Hoxha, once the leading politician of ethnic >Albanian origin in Yugoslavia, joked at an official dinner in Prizren >last year that Serbian women should be used to satisfy potential >ethnic Albanian rapists. After his quip was reported this October, >Serbian women in Kosovo protested, and Mr. Hoxha was dismissed from >the Communist Party. > >As a precaution, the central authorities dispatched 380 riot police >officers to the Kosovo region for the first time in four years. > >Officials in Belgrade view the ethnic Albanian challenge as imperiling >the foundations of the multinational experiment called federal Yugoslavia, >which consists of six republics and two provinces. > >'Lebanonizing' of Yugoslavia > >High-ranking officials have spoken of the ''Lebanonizing'' of their >country and have compared its troubles to the strife in Northern >Ireland. > >Borislav Jovic, a member of the Serbian party's presidency, spoke in >an interview of the prospect of ''two Albanias, one north and one >south, like divided Germany or Korea,'' and of ''practically the >breakup of Yugoslavia.'' He added: ''Time is working against us.'' > >The federal Secretary for National Defense, Fleet Adm. Branko >Mamula, told the army's party organization in September of efforts >by ethnic Albanians to subvert the armed forces. ''Between 1981 >and 1987 a total of 216 illegal organizations with 1,435 members >of Albanian nationality were discovered in the Yugoslav People's >Army,'' he said. Admiral Mamula said ethnic Albanian subversives >had been preparing for ''killing officers and soldiers, poisoning >food and water, sabotage, breaking into weapons arsenals and >stealing arms and ammunition, desertion and causing flagrant >nationalist incidents in army units.'' > >Concerns Over Military > >Coming three weeks after the ethnic Albanian draftee, Aziz Kelmendi, >had slaughtered his Slavic comrades in the barracks at Paracin, the >speech struck fear in thousands of families whose sons were about to >start their mandatory year of military service. > >Because the Albanians have had a relatively high birth rate, >one-quarter of the army's 200,000 conscripts this year are ethnic >Albanians. Admiral Mamula suggested that 3,792 were potential human >timebombs. > >He said the army had ''not been provided with details relevant for >assessing their behavior.'' But a number of Belgrade politicians said >they doubted the Yugoslav armed forces would be used to intervene in >Kosovo as they were to quell violent rioting in 1981 in Pristina. >They reason that the army leadership is extremely reluctant to become >involved in what is, in the first place, a political issue. > >Ethnic Albanians already control almost every phase of life in the >autonomous province of Kosovo, including the police, judiciary, >civil service, schools and factories. Non-Albanian visitors almost >immediately feel the independence - and suspicion - of the ethnic >Albanian authorities. > >Region's Slavs Lack Strength > >While 200,000 Serbs and Montenegrins still live in the province, >they are scattered and lack cohesion. In the last seven years, 20,000 of >them have fled the province, often leaving behind farmsteads and >houses, for the safety of the Slavic north. > >Until September, the majority of the Serbian Communist Party >leadership pursued a policy of seeking compromise with the Kosovo >party hierarchy under its ethnic Albanian leader, Azem Vlasi. > >But during a 30-hour session of the Serbian central committee in >late September, the Serbian party secretary, Slobodan Milosevic, >deposed Dragisa Pavlovic, as head of Belgrade's party organization, the >country's largest. Mr. Milosevic accused Mr. Pavlovic of being an >appeaser who was soft on Albanian radicals. Mr. Milosevic had >courted the Serbian backlash vote with speeches in Kosovo itself >calling for ''the policy of the hard hand.'' > >''We will go up against anti-Socialist forces, even if they call us >Stalinists,'' Mr. Milosevic declared recently. That a Yugoslav >politician would invite someone to call him a Stalinist even four >decades after Tito's epochal break with Stalin, is a measure of the >state into which Serbian politics have fallen. For the moment, Mr. >Milosevic and his supporters appear to be staking their careers on a >strategy of confrontation with the Kosovo ethnic Albanians. > >Other Yugoslav politicians have expressed alarm. ''There is no doubt >Kosovo is a problem of the whole country, a powder keg on which we >all sit,'' said Milan Kucan, head of the Slovenian Communist Party. > >Remzi Koljgeci, of the Kosovo party leadership, said in an interview >in Pristina that ''relations are cold'' between the ethnic Albanians >and Serbs of the province, that there were too many ''people without >hope.'' > >But many of those interviewed agreed it was also a rare opportunity >for Yugoslavia to take radical political and economic steps, as Tito >did when he broke with the Soviet bloc in 1948. > >Efforts are under way to strengthen central authority through >amendments to the constitution. The League of Communists is planning >an extraordinary party congress before March to address the >country's grave problems. > >The hope is that something will be done then to exert the rule of >law in Kosovo while drawing ethnic Albanians back into Yugoslavia's >mainstream. > >Copyright 1987 The New York Times Company > |