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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: nihil who wrote (21604)	4/26/1999 1:56:00 PM
From: johnd	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Forward looking statements. MSFT closed 1998 at 139 or 69.5 after split. I want to guess where it would be end of 99. Earnings based: --------------- At end of 98, it had 1.02 in year ending EPS, or was at about 70 PE. Assuming the PE stays constant, and a calendar 99 EPS of (1.65, i.e. .35, .40, .40, .50) at 70 PE, 115 could be achieved? Assuming a 15% down risk for Y2K funds outflow, we could safely assume 100? Year over Year based: -------------------- 69.5 -> 50% Y2Y appreciation => 105 69.5 -> 60% Y2Y appreciation => 112 What do people think?