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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mang Cheng who wrote (30259)4/27/1999 1:58:00 AM
From: mr.mark  Respond to of 45548
 
don't know if this thestreet.com article has already been posted. it's 6 hours old. that's ancient by today's standards. :)

After Fore, There Are Slim
Pickings in Networkers
By Kevin Petrie
Staff Reporter
4/26/99 8:11 PM ET

Now it's just table scraps.

London-based conglomerate General Electric
Company joined the bandwagon of European
telecommunications companies raiding U.S. data
networkers Monday when it swooped down to grab
Fore Systems (FORE:Nasdaq) for around $4 billion
cash -- 79 times its earnings for its fiscal year
ending in March.

The buyout by GEC, which isn't related to General
Electric (GE:NYSE) of the U.S., closes an
important chapter the consolidation of this industry.

While networking king Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq) and
telecom giants such as Lucent (LU:NYSE) and
Ericsson (ERICY:Nasdaq ADR) will continue to
forage for network hardware, they will not find viable
switch or router companies on the public market.
Those networkers have mostly been acquired.

"At this point, all the consolidation that's been
talked about has happened," says analyst Martin
Pyykkonen with CIBC Oppenheimer. Pyykkonen
started covering six companies with Oppenheimer
in early 1998; three have been acquired. Nortel
(NT:NYSE) snapped up Bay Networks in late
summer; Lucent will close its merger with Ascend
(ASND:Nasdaq) by late June. Today, Fore agreed
to be acquired.

After nearly doubling in five weeks amid
expectations of a takeover, Fore gained 38%
Monday to finish at 33 3/4 -- close to its $35 a
share cash value fixed by the deal. 3Com
(COMS:Nasdaq) tacked on 3/4 to 26 9/16, and
Cabletron (CS:NYSE) jumped 1 5/16 to 9 1/2.

Fore had "scarcity value," Pyykkonen says,
because it deals almost purely in a network
technology called "asynchronous transfer mode," or
ATM. Although Fore struggled in competing with
Cisco for corporate accounts, its ATM switches will
enable carriers to blend voice and data calls on their
networks. With Fore gone, there is a dearth of
companies offering refined ATM systems --
technology it would benefit Tellabs (TLAB:Nasdaq)
and Ericsson to acquire as they prepare their
product lines for future networks.

Acquirers might find ATM switches more easily
among networking start-ups -- provided they can
convince them not to go public.

Among the remaining publicly-traded companies,
3Com and Cabletron do not specialize in ATM.
Newbridge (NN:NYSE), an ATM supplier based in
Kanata, Ontario, has ATM switches, but like 3Com,
it has some less attractive product lines and is
large enough to be an unwieldy partner. Cabletron,
meanwhile, has lost market share to Cisco.

Rumors have circulated on Wall Street that either
Ericsson or Siemens might buy the Santa Clara,
Calif.-based 3Com for its switches and Internet
access gear, but it's hardly a simple proposition
because 3Com relies so heavily on modems and
PC-adapter cards, which have razor-thin profit
margins. Much of the takeover talk, which
resurfaced Friday, involves carving up the company
into separate business units. 3Com is valued at
$9.6 billion, or 26 times profits in the last four
quarters, and is expected to grow earnings 17% in
the fiscal year ending May 2000.

Meanwhile, Wall Street scrounges for leftovers.
Cabletron remains the subject of tireless merger
speculation. "There's always the old standby," says
one institutional trader.

Although the Rochester, N.H.-based Cabletron
streamlined operations and squeezed out a profit
last quarter, during the fiscal year ended February,
net loss nearly doubled to $240 million. Cabletron is
expected to earn 36 cents in the fiscal year ending
February 2000, compared to a net loss of 1.43 per
share in fiscal 1999.

Newbridge is saddled with slowing sales of a dying
technology called "time division multiplexing," or
TDM. Newbridge trades at $6.8 billion, or 42 times
earnings. Newbridge has disappointed repeatedly,
but is expected to recover and grow earnings 53%
in the year ending April 2000.

But few investors have confidence that these three
can prove to be of value to a buyer.



To: Mang Cheng who wrote (30259)4/27/1999 2:47:00 AM
From: Harold S. Kirby  Respond to of 45548
 
Mang: Yes...it is certainly the most enjoyable and challenging game that man has created. I became acquainted with it while serving in Korea and Vietnam from 1963-66. I still consider myself a "novice"...it takes years to learn this game and I doubt if one actually can "master it"! The discipline of the game has taught me much...it is far more interesting to play than chess...which is also
an excellent game. It certainly develops the mind and everyone that has played it find it addictive! My wife and I play it often and as you know these games can go on for quite awhile. I would certainly appreciate some pointers from you if you would be kind enough to share. Has it helped you in any of your investment decisions?

Regards,
HKirby