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>>> April 27, 1999
Big Brokerage Firms to Launch Online Trading Counterattack
By CHARLES GASPARINO and REBECCA BUCKMAN Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Big full-service Wall Street brokers are set to launch a counterattack to head off low-cost Internet-trading rivals.
Prudential Insurance Co. of America's Prudential Securities Inc., Citigroup's Salomon Smith Barney and even Merrill Lynch & Co. -- a firm that has long resisted offering cheap, online trading to most customers -- all are moving toward giving more clients access to e-trading through "fee-based" accounts. That is where investors pay a set annual charge for a package deal including an allotment of trades, rather than pay commissions for each trade.
The big firms' plan for Internet investors: Charge clients a flat fee for investment advice and research, and give them online trading as a bonus. At least two are considering something even more revolutionary -- charging a nominal flat fee and a discounted per-trade commission for online transactions, an acknowledgment that the act of executing a trade simply isn't worth that much anymore.
No one is looking for the big brokers to offer online trading at the rock-bottom rates of Internet upstarts like Suretrade Inc., a unit of Fleet Financial Group Inc., and Datek Online Holdings Corp. (Each charge less than $10 a trade.) And some analysts say the moves may not amount to much savings for full-service customers, because they will still pay a fee for the privilege to trade online, and in some cases, a commission as well.
"Firms are looking to provide a variety of pricing options, and it's not a foregone conclusion that the fee-based pricing structure is necessarily the least expensive," says Henry McVey, an analyst at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter & Co.
Still, the new offerings could help the behemoths better compete with discount brokers such as Charles Schwab Corp., which charge slightly higher commissions in return for extra services. Commissions at securities firms vary depending on the size and type of account, of course. But the current gap among firms is huge. For example, investors buying 300 shares of Yahoo! Inc. pay roughly $315 in commissions at Merrill. At Datek, the same trade costs $9.99. At Schwab, the trade costs $165 through a firm broker, and $29.95 over the Internet.
It is no surprise, then, that the bigger firms have been competing through fee-based accounts -- rather than slashing their per-trade commissions, which would reduce revenues and profits. Prudential Securities, for example, says it will soon charge clients just $24.95 to make a trade either online or through a broker. The catch: It must be done in a new type of account charging investors an annual fee of roughly 1% to 1.5% of assets. Currently, investors can pay several hundred dollars in commission to buy and sell securities through a Prudential broker.
"We understand that people pay us a fee for advice, and we also recognize that the cost of a trade is a commodity, so we're willing to price it as a commodity," says Hardwick Simmons, president and chief executive of Prudential Securities.
Salomon Smith Barney is considering adding online trading to its "Asset One" account, where investors holding at least $100,000 will pay fees ranging from 0.5% to 2% of assets under management -- and get at least 40 annual online trades free. For investors with a $100,000 account, this translates into an annual fee of $2,000. Assuming they make 40 trades a year, investors would be paying the equivalent of $50 a trade, but that is no different than what they pay now to trade through a broker handling this account. Though these fees aren't razor-thin, investors do get Salomon Smith Barney's research reports and investment advice.
Merrill, the nation's largest full-service brokerage firm, could launch lower-priced online trading before the end of the year, people close to the company say. The firm currently offers online trading only to its best customers -- those with at least $100,000 enrolled in two specific fee-based accounts. The flat fee includes a set number of trades, which customers can place over the Internet or with a broker.
But Merrill wants to open the Internet to many more customers, people familiar with the firm say. So Merrill is working on new "pricing models" that allow the firm to do just that, the people say.
These new programs show that full-service firms, after dismissing the significance of the Internet as recently as two years ago, understand they need to make a stab at lower-cost online trading. To attract and retain cyber-customers, though, they must play up their ability to provide sophisticated advice, since many online brokers offer plain-vanilla trade execution for just a few dollars a trade.
Meanwhile, full-service brokers are scrambling to retain clients who potentially could defect to online rivals. At the same time, the big firms, with an older clientele than cyber-brokers, want to attract a new generation of investors who are more techno-savvy.
Through it all, the volume of online trading just keeps growing. Even nagging technical glitches, such as a 50-minute Web outage suffered by Schwab Monday, can't seem to stanch the flow. A report Monday from U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray said the number of online trades soared 49% from 1998's fourth quarter to this year's first quarter.
Yet investor activity at full-service firms is expanding smartly, too. Merrill reported a 7% increase in first-quarter brokerage commissions, to $1.57 billion. There are plenty of investors who don't prefer to manage their finances on the Internet. There always will be some people busy or wealthy enough to pay for the kind of personalized investment advice traditional brokers offer, Morgan Stanley's Mr. McVey says.
But Merrill's percentage increase pales compared with Internet brokers. Transaction revenue (composed mostly of brokerage commissions) soared nearly 2.4 times in the first quarter at E*Trade Group Inc., to $90.5 million.
The full-service firms acknowledge that many of their customers already keep small, second accounts with online brokers. Forrester Research Inc., an Internet consulting firm, recently said that 10% of affluent households -- those with $1 million or more in "investable assets" -- now trade with all-online brokers such as E*Trade and Datek.
What You Pay For The cost of buying 300 shares of Yahoo! at several brokerage firms and the services they provide.
Broker Cost Services Merrill Lynch $315-a Personalized service with one broker, who can provide research, stock quotes, advice Charles Schwab $29.95 online; $165 through a broker Limited free real-time quotes; research from two investment banks; 24-hour live customer service E*Trade Group $19.95 Free real-time quotes; BancBoston Robertson research for $9.95 a month; live customer service 8 a.m.-9 p.m. EDT weekdays Datek Online $9.99 Free real-time quotes; live customer service 8 a.m.-7 p.m. EDT weekdays
a-Could be discounted at broker's discretion; also could buy within a fee-based account. Source: The firms
Those investors aren't just using "play money" for cyber-trading, contends analyst Michael Gazala, who wrote the report. He says 22% of the online house holds had more than half their portfolios with the Internet-investment firms, instead of their full-service brokers.
But when they do start offering online trading, traditional brokers can't compete only on price. Unlike E*Trade and Schwab, firms like Merrill employ expensive research analysts and invest huge sums in their brokers, who often command six-figure salaries to dispense advice about taxes, estate planning and retirement.
"The reality is, the advice component will likely be separated from the trade execution," Morgan Stanley's Mr. McVey says. "To some degree, I think that is where we're headed." Mr. McVey should know: The Dean Witter arm of Morgan Stanley is expected to roll out online trading later this year to customers with the firm's fee-based Choice accounts, a small number of whom are testing online trading now. A pricing structure still hasn't been determined.
PaineWebber Group Inc. is another online convert. After saying as recently as 15 months ago that it still wasn't sure if it would deploy online trading, the firm now is gearing up to launch the service in the third quarter. Pricing still hasn't been worked out.
Perhaps the biggest surprise is Merrill. Late last year, Merrill brokerage chief John "Launny" Steffens publicly bashed online trading and do-it-yourself investing as a "serious threat to Americans' financial lives."
Now Mr. Steffens is taking a slightly different tack. He has been discussing a plan to provide low-cost online trading to more of the firm's customers, possibly even without ever talking to a broker. Mr. Steffens declined to comment, but a spokeswoman confirmed that Merrill has started looking at ways to open Internet trading to more of its customers.
Merrill, the spokeswoman said, wants to "expand client choice and how they do business with us." The Internet, she said, "will play an increasingly important role in our service model and the value proposition for our clients."
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April 27, 1999
Whose Advice Do You Follow: The Fool, or the Alleged Guru?
I sat down to review two of this year's better-selling investment books, fully prepared to dislike both. One of them didn't disappoint me.
Understand, among journalists, there is a certain knee-jerk crankiness that makes us deeply suspicious of anything popular. And these days, few authors are more popular than California personal-finance guru Suze Orman. Ms. Orman has become a household name, thanks to her two earlier books, her public-television specials and her frequent appearances on "The Oprah Winfrey Show."
But with her growing popularity has come increased media scrutiny. In the case of Ms. Orman's latest book, "The Courage to be Rich" (Riverhead Books, 370 pages, $24.95), the spotlight isn't flattering. How awful is Ms. Orman's book? Judge for yourself.
"I have found that when negative emotions control the purse strings, money will not flow purely and evenly," she tells us at the bottom of page 11.
"All money has the power to grow or to dwindle, and when you unleash powerful thoughts over even small amounts of money, you are turning toward more," she adds on page 28.
Eight pages later, she asks: "Does money have a life force, an energy force, of its own? I truly believe it does, for I have seen its force at work, in small amounts of money that, invested wisely over time, thrive and prosper into fortunes -- that's the life force of money given its full rein."
Finally, on page 81, she offers this gem: "The less self-esteem you have, the more debt you create."
Readers who battle through all the psychobabble about shame, fear, anger and self-worth are eventually rewarded with some straightforward financial advice. But it hardly seems worth the effort. Indeed, I can think of much better ways to spend $24.95.
Which brings me to the other book I read. For a nickel more, you can get "The Motley Fool's Rule Breakers, Rule Makers" (Simon & Schuster, 340 pages, $25), written by David and Tom Gardner. (Full disclosure: My last book was also published by S&S.) I have long been vaguely skeptical of the Gardner brothers and their hugely popular Motley Fool Web site (www.fool.com).
All the cavorting in silly jester hats and chattering about technology stocks never did much for me. But "Rule Breakers, Rule Makers" is a worthy book and a decent read.
It is, in truth, two books. The first and better-written part, penned by David Gardner, talks about how to find Rule Breakers, those fast-growing companies that are transforming the world and, along the way, making their shareholders filthy rich.
The current Rule Breaker portfolio, which can be found at the Fool's Web site, includes such stocks as Amazon.com, America Online, Amgen and Starbucks.
To qualify as a Rule Breaker, a company must -- among other things -- be the first and dominant player in an emerging market and have some sustainable business advantage, strong consumer appeal and stunning stock-market performance.
To make the cut, David Gardner adds in one of the book's most amusing sections, a company must also have been dismissed as ridiculously overvalued by the financial media. Mr. Gardner then proceeds to shred some of the media's many misjudgments.
The second half of the book, written by Tom Gardner, is devoted to Rule Makers, those leading companies that dominate their markets. The writing is more labored, though the analysis may actually be more helpful, because finding appropriate stocks is reduced to a fairly easy scoring system.
Rule Makers are distinguished not only by powerful brand names, healthy profit margins and conservative balance sheets, but they also tend to be far ahead of their competitors on each of these counts.
If this sounds like the sort of company that would appeal to Berkshire Hathaway's Warren Buffett, it is -- almost. The current Rule Maker portfolio includes American Express and Coca-Cola, two Buffett holdings. But it also includes hard-to-understand technology companies, such as Cisco Systems, Intel and Yahoo!, which Buffett has tended to shy away from.
In touting their two stock-picking methods, the Gardner brothers are persuasive, maybe too much so. The book takes stock mutual funds to task for their lackluster performance, placing a hefty portion of the blame on the outrageously high expenses charged by many funds.
The criticism is richly deserved. But there's a reason high expenses lead to market-lagging performance. Most fund managers can't beat the market by a big enough margin to overcome the burden of their own expenses. The fact is, the market is highly efficient and it is extraordinarily difficult to earn market-beating results.
Those who adopt the Gardners' stock-picking methods should bear that in mind. Yeah, their strategies have done well historically. But like the mutual-fund advertisements say, past performance is no guarantee of future results. |