Told ya so, Frankie: "Facing Internet Threat, Merrill Plans To Offer Trading Online for Low Fees
Customers Will Get Choice: $29.95 Rate, Full Service or a No-Commission Plan
By CHARLES GASPARINO and REBECCA BUCKMAN Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
At a conference in May, the chairman of online brokerage firm E*Trade Group Inc., Christos Cotsakos, chided Merrill Lynch & Co. for failing to understand the power of the Internet. Merrill Chairman David Komansky held his peace, but he did remark, significantly, that if a "bunch of yuppies" could win over investors on the Internet, so could Merrill.
On Tuesday, Merrill showed its hand. In a bold move fraught with risk, the largest U.S. brokerage firm, anchored in tradition and costly full service, announced plans to enter the low-cost business of online stock trading.
Merrill, whose customers pay commissions of up to several hundred dollars per trade, will offer online trading for as little as $29.95 per transaction, matching fast-growing rival Charles Schwab Corp. It's as if Bergdorf Goodman started selling inexpensive merchandise in its basement to compete with Wal-Mart.
Indeed, Merrill's decision -- one that every full-service Wall Street brokerage firm will have to respond to -- shows just how profoundly the Internet is transforming the competitive landscape in the U.S. economy. Rarely in history has the leader in an industry felt compelled to do an about-face and, virtually overnight, adopt what is essentially a new business model.
In Merrill's case, the move is especially remarkable. It was less than a year ago that Merrill's brokerage chief, John "Launny" Steffens, publicly stated that "the do-it-yourself model of investing, centered on Internet trading, should be regarded as a serious threat to Americans' financial lives." Merrill instead found that scoffing at cyber-trading was a threat to its own health. "There's not a [broker] at Merrill who hasn't lost business" to online brokers, a senior Merrill executive confides.
Internal debate raged for months before top executives agreed they would embrace the Internet, and figured out how to do it. Only after proponents suggested starting a separate online unit -- which would have ended up competing from within against Merrill's thousands of stockbrokers -- did internal critics of online service drop their opposition to cheap Internet trading through Merrill itself.
That trading will be offered in more than one form. Another new option outlined Tuesday and set to begin in July is an account that will permit unlimited free trading -- either with a broker, online or over the phone to an order taker -- in return for an annual account fee equaling about 0.2% to 1% of the account's assets. Its minimum fee will be $1,500 a year. This "core relationship account," as Merrill insiders call it, is expected to include free research reports, financial-planning help and basic banking with free ATM transactions.
But clients who want to continue to deal with Merrill as before, advised by a stockbroker and paying full commissions, will still be able to do so.
Merrill's new strategy is as risky as it is daring. The most obvious danger concerns what the change will do to revenue -- how much new business the new accounts will generate vs. how much will be lost through much-lower commissions. Right now, online trading, like most kinds, is booming in America. But calculations could be thrown out of whack if the long-running bull market ends and individual investors cut back sharply on their trading.
More immediately, Merrill's business overhaul could spark rebellion within its army of 14,800 well-paid brokers. An internal Merrill Lynch study, for example, suggests that brokers who are paid chiefly in commissions might see their incomes decline by 18% initially. To offset this loss, the company is considering issuing Merrill stock to brokers who are hurt the most by investor switching to the low-cost accounts.
Finally, this strategy to take on the online rivals has a key weakness: delay. The centerpiece of $29.95 trading -- also available for phoned-in orders -- won't be offered until December. This means that competitors, some of whom already offer deeply discounted fees of $14.95, $9.99 and even $5 a trade, will have time to counter Merrill's moves before they are even fully implemented. Moreover, Merrill is expected to require $20,000 to open these low-commission accounts.
But there is no turning back for Merrill, as its executives indicated when they used the code-name "Rubicon" for their low-cost trading plans, after the river Julius Caesar crossed on his way to overthrow Rome's rulers.
In addressing the online challenge, Merrill faced a decision that market leaders in business often face, although rarely with so much at stake: At what point does one stop ignoring pesky upstarts and counterattack -- particularly if doing that means cannibalizing one's existing business? Responding too quickly, before a new business method catches on, can unnecessarily damage both profits and reputation. But waiting too long can allow the upstarts to become entrenched, as Sears, Roebuck & Co. discovered with discount retailers and as U.S. auto makers learned when Japanese rivals won a big piece of the American car market.
Most traditional Wall Street firms regarded online trading as a curiosity or a small niche when it first appeared in 1994. That was when a discount broker named K. Aufhauser & Co. executed the first trade over the Internet, with little fanfare. Aufhauser has since been absorbed by Ameritrade Holding Corp.
Booming Business
Far from a curiosity, it has led to a securities-markets upheaval, as a new generation of investors -- attracted both to the surging Internet and to the much-publicized returns of this long bull market in stocks -- took to cyberspace to buy and sell. Discount broker Schwab, quick to recognize how the game was shifting, switched from its branch-office and telephone-based order-taking to an emphasis on online trading. Its bet-the-ranch strategy paid off, as increased volume more than made up for lower commissions. Schwab's own stock soared, and last December its total stock-market value topped venerable Merrill's, astonishing the securities world.
With the Internet now accounting for 30% to 35% of all stock trades by individuals, Merrill executives finally decided they couldn't afford not to embrace such trading.
In moving aggressively, Merrill is seeking to act from a position of strength rather than weakness. The firm is also a powerhouse in underwriting, in mergers and acquisitions and in asset management. Analysts estimate that less than $2 billion of Merrill's 1998 revenue of $17.5 billion came from commissions paid by individual investors for stock and bond trades.
Moreover, Merrill's brokerage business isn't shrinking but growing, with an increase in commissions of 7% in the first quarter. Still, that is far below the rate of growth of Schwab and other online brokerage firms. Schwab's commission revenue surged 59% in the first quarter.
Merrill's online plans represent its biggest initiative since 1975, when the firm unveiled its hugely successful Cash Management Account, an all-in-one brokerage account with banking features that was widely copied. The online move will no doubt prove a major legacy of Mr. Komansky. In his two years as chairman, he has overseen a rapid international expansion in various business lines, but he came to realize that the growth of Merrill's core brokerage business was threatened if it took too slow an approach to the Internet.
Many Ways to Go
Merrill's multitiered strategy aims to offer something for everyone. Customers who aren't comfortable with trading online still will be able to have their stockbrokers handle things and give advice, although Merrill expects that business to shrivel over time.
ML Direct -- Merrill's internal name for the account with a $29.95 base commission for trades of up to 1,000 shares -- will compete with the discount brokerage business, online and otherwise. Its customers will be able to get the same commissions on phone orders by calling an order-taker at a Merrill customer-service center. Though some rivals may charge less, Merrill believes investors won't mind paying a bit more for its reputation, combined with some additional services such as free research reports.
But Merrill hopes that most customers will choose the new relationship account, offering unlimited free trading for an annual fee based on the assets held. (If customers do an extreme amount of trading, Merrill reserves the right to tell them this isn't the account for them.) Some existing fee-based accounts are to be converted to the new model. Clients will have access to a broker and such other services as mortgage preapproval.
Executives had to cross a cultural, as well as a business, divide in deciding to shift to offering a full array of online-trading options. Unlike entrepreneurs at E*Trade and some other new rivals, many Merrill executives only recently became attuned to the Internet. The 60-year-old Mr. Komansky, for instance, finally realized that the Federal Express packages frequently arriving at his home were from his adult children's Internet shopping sprees, according to a Merrill insider. He was surprised to find that his daughters could actually buy their mother flowers online.
And after Mr. Steffens, who is 57, publicly assailed Internet trading last June, his son Drew, a Merrill stockbroker in North Carolina, called, imploring that his father "get his act together," Merrill insiders say.
Limited Move
Now it is Mr. Steffens who is leading the charge. And he faces the unenviable task of winning over the brokers he oversees to a plan he himself would have opposed a year ago. (Some time after his 1998 speech, Mr. Steffens said he hadn't actually been criticizing online trading itself, but rather its use for the rapid, in-and-out investing known as day trading.)
For a time, it appeared that a go-slow Internet approach would prevail at Merrill. Earlier this year, the firm introduced online trading, but only to about 55,000 customers in two types of accounts requiring at least $100,000 in assets; that was only about 1% of its five million brokerage customers.
The gradual approach had isolated Mr. Steffens, according to people familiar with the debate inside Merrill. Herbert Allison, Merrill's president, began asserting in a series of executive meetings that the firm should embrace the Internet more quickly. Within the Merrill power structure, Mr. Allison, 55, is regarded as something of a house technologist, intrigued by the Internet.
At several points, Mr. Allison and others raised the issue of whether Merrill should create an online unit outside of Mr. Steffens's "retail" brokerage group. The suggestion touched off an intense exchange, according to people familiar with the discussions, who say that essentially, some executives were questioning the commitment of Mr. Steffens and the rest of his group to make an Internet strategy work. Mr. Steffens's response to the idea of a separate unit: No way. The strategy, he insisted, must be under his control. Ultimately, both he and Mr. Allison agreed that this was the way to go.
There was evidence that the go-slow approach had been damaging the firm. Some of Mr. Steffens's allies, such as Maddy Weinstein, who deals with retail-brokerage technology, reported that the news from the field was getting increasingly bad: More and more stockbrokers were complaining that they were losing customers to online trading.
Losing Clients
Mr. Steffens began receiving e-mail messages, about 10 a day, from concerned brokers. One afternoon in January, people at Merrill say, he got a call from Donna Di Ianni, a veteran New Jersey broker, who said three of her best clients had taken chunks of their money out of Merrill to open accounts at online firms. Soon, another top-producing broker remarked with frustration that this had just happened to him.
Mr. Steffens and his top advisers started touring the country, talking to clients as well as leaders in the technology business. It was an eye-opener. A client from Austin, Texas, with a 20-year relationship with the firm told Mr. Steffens that he used a separate, online account for his frequent trades. Among stocks he traded in that account: Merrill Lynch.
The experience humbled Mr. Steffens. He is a fierce competitor, the kind of man who, for example, loves to ski at high speed without wearing a helmet. But in recent months, he faced sleepless nights and began thinking of his legacy, according to people familiar with the firm.
Tired of symbolizing Merrill's problems in the new world of online investing, Mr. Steffens and his aides began to hash out the details of the new strategy. One early issue: Should Merrill target Schwab and its prices; should it go lower and compete with the deep-discount firms; or should it possibly price its online service a little higher than Schwab's? The third option was quickly rejected after executives concluded that any prices higher than Schwab's would be interpreted as a halfhearted move.
'Rolling Thunder'
Slowly, Merrill began to put the pieces together. In February, top executives decided to buy the online-trading-technology unit of D.E. Shaw & Co. for $25 million. The move wasn't considered all that significant; at the time, Mr. Komansky wasn't even sure he needed to mention it to the board. But on the day of the announcement, Merrill's stock initially surged four points.
In March, Mr. Steffens made an eight-hour presentation to Merrill's executive committee, providing the outlines of a new Internet strategy. The code name was "Rolling Thunder" -- coincidentally, the name the U.S. military gave to its bombing campaign against the North Vietnamese in the 1960s.
The committee approved the proposal to make discount online trading a core business, but for more than two months the plan remained a closely held secret. That wasn't easy, as Mr. Komansky found when chided by the E*Trade chairman, and as Mr. Steffens learned, too, at a recent conference. The vice chairman managed to restrict himself to saying that Schwab "had won round one," but the battle for online business was far from over.
A few big accounts were given an early heads-up that something was in the works. Mr. Steffens, for example, recently got the investor in Austin to switch his Internet trading back to Merrill by crafting a deal similar to the new percentage-of-assets option. But not until last Tuesday did Mr. Steffens present the plan to Merrill's full board of directors.
Tuesday it will get lots more reaction, as more than 14,000 stockbrokers and millions of customers learn what the future holds. |