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Technology Stocks : Safeguard Scientifics SFE -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: wellab1 who wrote (2718)4/28/1999 2:01:00 PM
From: wellab1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4467
 
SFE's P/E why textbook rules don't apply to SFE ?

Normal valuation in terms of P/E is 2X future earnings growth.
That's why drugs are selling off (P/E +3X future earnings growth)
SFE earnings growth in next 3-5 years is estimated at 21.25%
so healthy valuation should be P/E 42.5 (about 50%more than now)
If we will take 99 estimates (EPS 0.63) versus 98 (loss 0.46 EPS)
the earnings growth is hundreds of %%% (99% earnings surprise Q/Q)
Seems investors are acting on other variables than this one.At least
for now but sooner or later this factor should hit home.
There is of course a fear of Internet bubble bursting.
But right now SFE is just internet wannabe .At P/E 26 there is no bubble to burst(show me Internet co.with P/E 26).If SFE would inflate to only 1/2 of CMGI valuation(P/E 50-60) then we could start to worry.
Their holdings in terms of money invested I guess are at least 60% non
Internet so far.
Do I got it wrong or there is something else going on with this stock?.
wellab



To: wellab1 who wrote (2718)4/30/1999 10:30:00 AM
From: Micawber  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4467
 
>>The degree in which CMGI is determining SFE direction
seems to be substantial.<<

May be just my imagination, but intraday at least, CMGI seems to have higher percentage gains on up moves, and about the same or less percentage losses on down moves. I'm long term, so in theory I shouldn't care.