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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (56692)4/28/1999 2:52:00 PM
From: Rob Young  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1575597
 
Tench,

<Rob, maybe we're talking about two totally different things. You're arguing about the
cost of a processor; I'm arguing about the cost of an entire server. When I said that
"21364 isn't going to be cheap," I mean that Compaq isn't going to be selling that thing
for real cheap. The cost to actually make an Alpha is irrelevant; for an analogy, take a
look at the huge discrepancy between the cost to make a Xeon and the prices they
actually go for.>

We are kind of talking past each other. Never mind the 21364. Today
the 21264 is both a server and workstation (but not desktop, too
expensive). That be the EV6. The EV68 is just a much cheaper and
faster (going from about 500-575 MHz topping out around 1100 or so).
I have to disagree about the cost of the processor. Generally, it
takes a *cheap* processor to get into a $400 to $3000 system.

<And the rest of your post is confusing. The Compaq/Digital slide that you told me to
click on really doesn't tell me much, since the slide is rather vague and not meant to
show exact release dates.>

Well no kidding. No more than you find an Intel roadmap with
accurate release dates for processors that are 6 months or more
out. Whaddya 'spect?

<So let's compare apples-to-apples here. How much do you think the
top-of-the-line dual-21264 workstation will sell for by mid-2000, the timeframe of
Merced's release? How fast will that 21264 run? And when is 21364 going to be
released?>

Okay. Top of the line dual-processor 21264 workstation will have
EV68's (.18 micron 21264) cranking 800+ MHz and should be shipping
Q1 2000. Cost for a dual-processor? $6000-$8000. Unsurprisngly,
that cost would drop to around $4500 by June 2000. Uni-processor?
$2500-$3000 by June. All speculation on my part. We don't know
Slot A MB prices. That is about one of the few pieces missing
in the puzzle.

21364 goes volume .. Apr/May 2000. Not by coincidence. Should
be doable. My opinion.

By the way, a low-cost high performing EV68 is key to Alpha success
or lack of it. The EV68 at $400-600 per pop (my opinion) would
essentially emasculate a Merced workstation. The WildFire server
will put a crimp in the server space (but not nearly as painful as
a lot of lather for 64-bit Intel servers, less lather for a workstation that costs more than twice as much as a similar Alpha
workstation).