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Technology Stocks : MRV Communications (MRVC) opinions? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: signist who wrote (13062)4/28/1999 3:40:00 PM
From: Sector Investor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42804
 
OK. This post is entirely SPECULATION, but offered in an attempt to
gauge future quarterly revenue flow. I've had some experience in real
life, as well as on the ASND contracts. The actual flow could be longer or shorter, and probably lumpy (not even rev flow), but we need something for our own "back of an envelope" calculation

Lets assume:

- the $50 million number as a ballpark . (I used $49m)
- a 2 year revenue flow (8 quarters).
- a 1 quarter initial lead time to get orders, build product, ship and bill.
- a 1 qtr ramp up at the start and a 1 qtr ramp down at the end.

We get:

Q2 no impact
Q3 + 3.5 million revs
Q4 + 7 million revs
2000 + 28 million revs
2001 + 10.5 million revs