To: Norman H. Hostetler who wrote (10565 ) 4/29/1999 7:50:00 AM From: Charles A. King Respond to of 13091
One major development has been the recent change in the oil price picture. Until March, the Charleston plant would not have paid to operate unless it was upgraded to a Model 1000 with all the bells and whistles. That would have required a major investment and Bill couldn't raise the money. But now the price of heating oil on the NYMEX is 44 cents, not 27 cents. Can you imagine what diesel will go for as storage levels are reduced? The plant could be making money right now if $100,000 had been invested in it and GRNO could continue to hold out. It could pay off the outside creditors and time would be on GRNO's side for a change. I believe there are deals waiting for Bill to throw in the towel and for the "hard ball" scenario to develop. Time is now on their side, not ours. Bill has always been too trusting and dependent on his consultants he hired and who did not serve him well, such as G&S. Back in 1994, the consultant who did air pollution calculations for DHEC made a critical mistake and DHEC used that as an excuse to delay approving the permit for over a year, even refusing to present their arguments to the EPA in writing. At least that is what I was told by Ginger Boatwright, the consultant who was trying to get DHEC to grant the permit in 1997. That delay cost GRNO all its capital. The untimely freeze on capital leaving China also prevented the Chinese gentleman from investing $1 million in GRNO in time. If that hadn't happened, I believe GRNO would be in fine shape now as venture capitalists would also be investing in GRNO preferred stock. It is easy to blame everything that happened on Bill because that is where the buck stops. But there have been a series of critically timed disasters that have sunk GRNO as well. If someone with $100,000 can recognize the value of the technology and realize that the operating plant can quickly pay back the loan, the present lack of collateral would not present a problem. Charles