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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MythMan who wrote (37648)4/30/1999 1:54:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
bank and broker poots look good to me.. but I already own some

my MER's have been performing for a couple weeks now -g-

CMB's are still a LONG way away form paydirt



To: MythMan who wrote (37648)4/30/1999 2:29:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
RE: "It appears that rates have broken out to the up side."

Bonds(rates) will be impacted by how far and fast
equities drop(if at all). I'm still looking for
another point drop in bonds before next Friday's
employment stats. That would take us to 5.75%
Could see a great deal of volatility in bonds
surrounding that number, easily one to two point
gap-like moves in either direction as bidders emerge
or dealers disgorge and possible Fed action or
inaction is assessed. I'm long bond volatility
here. Its increased 1.0% this week and could go to
10% by May 7. FWIW.

To state the obvious, a strong employment number next
Friday will further erode bonds and potentially be
the catalyst for stock "profit-taking". Unemployment
rate consensus is Apr. 4.2% vs. Mar. 4.2% and nonfarm
expectations are currently 239K for Apr. vs. anemic
46k for March. March will be revised up IMHO and economists
will likely be revising up Apr. guesses next week. BWDIK.