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To: one putt who wrote (14239)5/1/1999 8:52:00 AM
From: Jim (Hijacked)  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41369
 
Craig, I also noticed that pe for aol is wrong.
Let me put in my 2 cents on PE.
I usually take the most recent quarterly earnings and multiply by 4. Then figure out an approximate pe. For example: AOL just announced 11 cents for the last quarter. So by extrapolating with no growth, you get (11x4) 44 cents. Based on stock price of 150, you get a PE of 340.

Now, as you can see, this is not based on past year, or past 4 quarters. Also, it doesn't take seasonality into account. It is a mixture of past, present, and future. Although a conservative number since no future growth taken into account. I feel this is a better number for comparison purposes, assuming the company is still growing at a fast rate. Obviously you can figure out a reasonable growth rate and re-do the calculation by changing the 44 cents to a higher number, and get a lower pe based on future growth.

Good Luck.



To: one putt who wrote (14239)5/1/1999 7:19:00 PM
From: robert duke  Respond to of 41369
 
Ya know I have noticed the same darn thing. I think the earnings is .31 so just calculate it yourself. 142/.31 gives you a stock price of about 458 pe. That sounds right to me which gives us some room to run up to a pe of about 600 or so. I think we could be at about 186 before earnings. Then after the earnings come out the pe will drop to about 475 again after the next earnings which will allow us to move the price to about 234 a share by sept/oct or so.