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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (54466)5/2/1999 9:04:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
Price: $193 1/2
Estimates (Dec) 1998A 1999E 2000E
EPS: d$0.50 d$1.74 d$1.85
P/E: NM NM NM
EPS Change (YoY): NM NM
Consensus EPS: NA NA
(First Call: 24-Mar-1999)
Q2 EPS (Jun): d$0.12 d$0.52
Dividend Rate: Nil Nil Nil
Dividend Yield: Nil Nil Nil
Opinion & Financial Data
Investment Opinion: D-2-1-9
Mkt. Value / Shares Outstanding (mn): $30,739/ 157
Book Value/Share (Mar-1999): $0.49
Price/Book Ratio: 395x
LT Liability % of Capital: NM
Stock Data
52-Week Range: $12 7/8-$216 *
Symbol / Exchange: AMZN / OTC
Options: Phila
Institutional Ownership-Spectrum: 35.3%
Brokers Covering (First Call): 20
ML Industry Weightings & Ratings**
Strategy; Weighting Rel. to Mkt.:
Income: Underweight (07-Mar-1995)
Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-1995)
Income & Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-1995)
Capital Appreciation: In Line (28-Jan-1999)
Market Analysis; Technical Rating: Below Average (28-Dec-1998)
*Intermediate term opinion last changed on 09-Mar-1999.
**The views expressed are those of the macro department and do not
necessarily coincide with those of the Fundamental analyst.
For full investment opinion definitions, see footnotes.
Investment Highlights:
* Amazon.com's Q1 results slightly exceeded our
revised expectations in all key metrics. We are
maintaining our rating. We would not be
surprised to see some weakness near-term.
* In keeping with its strategy of focusing on long-term
value creation rather than short-term
bottom-line performance, management is again
massively increasing its investment plans for the
remainder of 1999 and 2000. This will result in a
near quadrupling of our estimated 1999 operating
losses—an action that should provide plenty of
ammo for those who argue the company “will
never make money.”
* We continue to believe that aggressive investment
is the best plan for the long term—a plan that, if
successful, will lead to industry-leading
profitability, market share, and market
capitalization. We should note, however, that this
belief is based on faith, not evidence.

* We are raising our 1999 revenue estimates from
$1.2 billion to $1.4 billion. We are also cutting our
EPS estimates significantly: from a loss of $0.90 to
a loss of $1.74.
Comment
United States
Internet \ Electronic Commerce
29 April 1999
Henry Blodget
First Vice President Amazon.com
Q1: Settling in (and Spending Even More)
For the Long Haul
ACCUMULATE*
Long Term
BUY Reason for Report: Quarterly Earnings
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#20111951
Stock Performance
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Amazon.com
Rel to S&P Composite Index (500) (Right Scale)