To: David Wright who wrote (10601 ) 5/1/1999 7:16:00 PM From: Greg Higgins Respond to of 14162
David Wright writes: Anyway, I still stand by my "zero sum game" (not gain) comment. For every trade, there is a counter-balancing trade...or there isn't a trade. This is true only in isolation. Usually the other side of a trade is a market maker, whose business it is to be on the other side of the trade. The market maker uses the "greeks" to create market neutral portfolios from which their position, however opposite from you, neither wins nor loses. They then collect their trading commissions and the difference between bid and ask. Furthermore, your statement totally ignores the different reasons people enter into the market in the first place. When you sell a put, the person buying it (if not a market maker) normally buys it for protection, not because they're convinced the market will go down. Some folks buy puts to speculate in a stock, but most don't. If buying the put gives them a good night's sleep and benefits you, who's to say that they lost, just because you earned money. The problem with statistics and the market isn't that the statistics don't work. The problem is that most of us don't have sufficient funds to play the market statistically. If we did, we'd all sell naked calls on stocks projected to go down, and buy calls in stocks expected to go up. Not all our up stocks would go up and not all our down stocks would go down, but given sufficient funds, we'd probably do reasonably well. Value Line claims their Long/Short Call hedge strategy averages a return of 28% per quarter over the last 3 years. You and I make our trades in isolation, as does each and every other trader. But our rationals and goals are all different. Just because we're on opposite sides of a trade doesn't make one of us a winner and one of us a loser.