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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Knighty Tin who wrote (58391)5/2/1999 9:23:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Respond to of 132070
 
Well, you have spelled out quantitatively what my gut reactions are when I look at various economic data (interest rates, dividend yields, P/Es, book values, inflation rate, oil prices, debt growth, and so on).

What I really don't like is the prospect of the capitalistic system being so badly damaged when all this speculation unwinds that we enter a period of stagnation like Japan or like the US before WW II restored demand.

I guess the only thing to do will be to abandon the financial markets and take up something really interesting. In fact, my grandfather did just that about 1934, buying dirt cheap land in Florida and planting orange trees on it. And I mean, doing some of it physically, himself.By 1952 it was paying him more than his medical practice. If the next generation had only held the land, it is now expensive subdivisions near Disney World.



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (58391)5/3/1999 9:20:00 AM
From: re3  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
but, Michael, you seem to think interest rates wil rise...so following my nose, I should be in

COLD HARD CASH...

i.e. letting my money RELAX...

which is by the way something Jerry Seinfeld said he wanted for his money on the show...

comments...

H



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (58391)5/3/1999 9:33:00 AM
From: Freedom Fighter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Mike,

>>So, on a relative basis, bonds are a much better buy than the index unless you expect much better than average earnings growth in the future from this eighth year of an economic expansion, or if you expect the supply of greater fools to never run dry.<<

I made very similar observations in my latest General Market View.

members.aol.com

Wayne