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Biotech / Medical : PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: BigKNY3 who wrote (7580)5/3/1999 1:04:00 PM
From: SIer formerly known as Joe B.  Respond to of 9523
 
ARE NEW TREATMENTS FOR ERECTILE DYSFUNCTION RESULTING IN 'GOOD SEX?'

- Not Necessarily, Says Dr. Ruth Westheimer -

DALLAS, May 3 /PRNewswire/ -- For years, Dr. Ruth Westheimer has
advocated good sex. But she doesn't necessarily believe that the much
touted treatments for erectile dysfunction are helping couples achieve
that goal.

At a briefing hosted by the University of Medicine and Dentistry of New
Jersey (UMDNJ) during today's American Urological Association (AUA)
meeting, the renowned sex therapist, author and educator urged men to
consider the needs of their partners when seeking treatment for
erectile dysfunction (ED).

"New medications for erectile dysfunction have contributed so much by
enabling men to improve or restore their sexual performance," says Dr.
Westheimer. "But truly having good sex means fixing more than the
mechanical problem. For both partners to enjoy good sex, they may have
to learn all over again how to be intimate with each other."

According to Dr. Westheimer, if a man is not sensitive to the physical
and emotional changes his partner may have gone through while the
couple was not having sex, intercourse alone will not restore loving
and intimate physical relations.

"Women, particularly those who have gone through menopause, may have
experienced a reduction in libido and vaginal lubrication, and the man
needs to be willing to reintroduce sex gently and gradually. Or,
during the time a man was unable to perform, a couple may have ceased
any activities that could even lead to sex, such as intimate
discussions, kissing and touching. In cases like these, foreplay often
needs to be re-learned," Dr. Westheimer said.

Noted psychologist and human sexuality expert Dr. Raymond Rosen,
professor of psychiatry at the University of Medicine and Dentistry of
New Jersey (UMDNJ)-Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, agrees that the
successful treatment of erectile dysfunction has as much to do with the
partner as with the pharmacological treatment.

"With the availability of convenient oral medications for erectile
dysfunction, and even more treatments in the pipeline, couples who may
not have been intimate for years now have the opportunity to resume a
satisfying sex life. Our research shows that this is just as important
to women as it is to men. In fact, one company investigating an
erectile dysfunction treatment, TAP Holdings, is emphasizing partner
satisfaction as part of their clinical data," Dr. Rosen said.

Erectile dysfunction affects an estimated 30 million men mostly over
age 50 in the United States and the condition can result from medical
conditions, medications, psychological or emotional factors. In the
past several years, important advances have been made in the treatment
of erectile dysfunction, and men are seeking treatment in unprecedented
numbers. In fact, according to IMS Health, the number of men who saw
their doctor for ED treatment increased 75 percent from 1997 to 1998.

Recognizing that the need for education in this area is greater
now than ever before, Dr. Westheimer is participating in this campaign
to discuss the importance for newly potent men to consider the physical
and emotional needs of their partner. She offers these tips for men
who are seeking, or undergoing, treatment for erectile dysfunction:

-- Talk to your doctor about the most appropriate therapy for your
condition.

-- Talk to your partner to find out what she feels about the possibility
of resuming sexual relations.

-- Suggest that your partner come with you to the doctor so that she can
be informed of your diagnosis, prognosis and treatment options.

-- Help your partner become familiar with whatever treatment regimen
your

doctor prescribes (i.e., how to administer the treatment, potential
side effects).

-- If prescribed a medication, don't have sex the first time you use it;
just be intimate together in bed and engage in foreplay.

-- If you and your partner have not had sex for a long time, it
important

to remember that women take longer to become aroused than men; pave
the way by giving her flowers or sharing a candlelight dinner.

-- If your partner has gone through menopause, don't forget to take her
physical changes into account by spending more time during foreplay
or

using lubricant. -- Since older men may take longer to ejaculate,
keep lubricant handy to

avoid any unnecessary female discomfort. -- Try making love in the
morning -- when men produce the highest level

of testosterone -- in order to be both psychologically and physically
aroused.

The UMDNJ-Robert Wood Johnson Medical School is one of three
medical schools of the University of Medicine and Dentistry of New
Jersey (UMDNJ). UMDNJ comprises New Jersey's only medical schools, the
state's only dental school, a nursing school, a graduate school of
biomedical sciences, a school of health related professions and a
school of public health on campuses in Newark, Piscataway/New
Brunswick, Camden, Stratford and Scotch Plains. UMDNJ also operates
UMDNJ-University Hospital, Newark, and University Behavioral
HealthCare. It is affiliated with more than 200 health care and
educational institutions throughout the state.
SOURCE University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey

-0- 05/03/99 /NOTE TO EDITORS: Dr. Rosen
will only be available for interviews during the American Urological
Association (AUA) meeting, from May 2 through May 5.

/Photos are available via the Associated Press Photo Network and on the
Internet (http://www.newscom.com). 213-237-5431./

/CONTACT: Kaylyn D. Dines of UMDNJ, 973-972-7276; or Lisa Meltzer of
BSMG Worldwide, 212-445-8137/

/Web site: bsmgworldwide.com
CO: University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; American
Urological

Association ST: New Jersey IN: HEA MTC SU:

*** end of story ***



To: BigKNY3 who wrote (7580)5/3/1999 10:44:00 PM
From: BigKNY3  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9523
 
The Peabody Report: 5/02/99

The Peabody Report is intended to foster conversation on the PFEr Board. Comments are encouraged and appreciated. Invest only after conducting your own research.

Have PFun!

BigKNY3
__________________________________________________________
PFE Stats (5/02/99):

Did the Pharma knife stop falling at 2:38 pm? We may know on Tuesday.

PFE Versus the Dow- Intraday
quicken.com

DOW JONES:
Close: 11,014 +226 A Historic All-time High

PFE - PFIZER INC

Last Price: 116 7/16 at 17:01
Change: Up 1 3/8 (+1.20%)
High: 117 at 16:37
Low: 113 5/8 at 14:38 Another Peabody Valley (-0.2% from the target)
Open: 115 1/16
Previous Close: 115 1/16 on 4/30
Volume: 5,751,700 High Volume
30-Day Avg. Volume: 4,115,000
Shares Outstanding: 1,293,175,000
52-Week High: 150.12
52-Week Low: 86
Beta: 0.93
Yield: 0.70%
P/E Ratio: 44.1
EPS: 2.64

Click here for a technical analysis of PFE Trends
stockconsultant.com
_____________
The Peabody Model

-Click here for a summary of the principles behind the Peabody Model.

Short-Term PFE Trend: Moving Higher to 130s (5/2/99)

Da Model moves out of neutral as the target Peabody Valley is almost hit (-0.2%).

Target Peabody Peak: The new target Peabody Peak is 131.82 (+13.2%) by 6/01/99. The Peabody Peak strike price is 122.72 (+5.4%).

Target Peabody Valley: A new pending Peabody Valley of 113.63 was set on 5/2/99. If the model is wrong, PFE can move down to a Peabody Valley of $110.62 (-5.0%)..

Predicted PFE Level: At the current record Dow level of 11,015 the predicted PFE price is 160.72..... Accordingly, PFE is 27.6% underpriced as compared to historical Dow and PFE trends. This is the highest underpricing of PFE in Da Model's history and is a reflection of a major break in the positive relationship among the Dow, PFE and Big
Pharma and the rotation out of growth and Pharma stocks.

Da Short-term PForecast (5/02/99) PFE: 116.94 Dow: 11,015: One day does not make a trend.... Accordingly, Tuesday is a big day for short-term PFE. Another strong day will probably push PFE on its way to another Peabody Peak.

For long-termers, this has been a wonderful buying opportunity. By July...maybe sooner..., you will be wondering why in the world you did not buy PFE when it was below 120 before the split...The easy answer: it is never easy to buy a stock after a 20%+ decline...But, the fact is PFE is getting stronger every day...this strength will result in superior earnings...which will result in higher PFE prices.

Suggested PFE Buying Range: $110 to $117 (4/28/99)

The Peabody Portfolio: Another 100 shares added today @114.00 (5/02/99)

Peabody Portfolio Summary

The Peabody Portfolio consists of 33 PFE purchase recommendations listed on the PFEr Board since August 14, 1996. The Portfolio has purchased 4,900 PFE shares at an average price of $72.52 (only 3.5% off the subsequent PFE Valleys).

# PFE purchases since 8/14/96: 33
% of purchases in the black: 88%
# PFE shares purchased: 4,900
Average PFE purchase price: $72.52
Annualized return: 55.8%
Current return: 61.8%

# PFE purchases since 1/01/99: 6
% of purchases in the black: 17%
# PFE shares purchased: 600
Average PFE purchase price: $117.96
Current return: -1.3%

Date............#..........Purchase
Purchased...Shares...Price
8/14/96:..... 200 ........$36.38
10/25/96:....200 .........$40.44
12/4/96:......200..........$41.69
12/12/96:.....200.........$40.50
12/16/96:.....200.........$40.44
12/31/96:....200..........$41.50
1/2/97:........200.........$40.94
1/28/97: ......200..........$42.38
2/28/97:.......200...........$45.69
3/24/97:.......200...........$44.88
3/27/97:.......200...........$42.81
3/31/97:........200..........$42.56
8/8/97:..........200..........$55.13
4/16/98:........200...........$97.00
4/27/98:........200...........$113.00
5/7/98:..........200...........$107.50
5/15/98:.........100..........$105.00
5/27/98 :........100 .........$101.75
7/06/98 :........100 .........$106.00
7/29/98 :........100 .........$110.50
8/05/98 :........100 .........$104.00
8/07/98 :........100 .........$102.63
8/11/98..........100..........$100.00
9/01/98..........100..........$97.63
10/06/98.........100..........$94.00
10/09/98.........100..........$89.00
10/14/98.........100..........$89.50
01/10/99.........100........$117.00
01/12/99.........100........$110.25
04/15/99..........100........$129.38
04/25/99..........100.........$118.13
04/28/99...........100.........$119.00
05/02/99...........100........$114.00

Total:............4,900.........$72.52
______________________________________________________

Peabody Peaks & Valleys: Updated 5/02/99

Listed below is an updated summary of the Peabody Peaks and Valleys since 1/04/90.

The columns include the following data:
- PFE prices
- % change since the previous Peabody Valley or Peak
- # of days from the last Peabody Valley or Peak
- # of high volume days associated with the Peabody Valley or Peak
- predicted next Peabody Valley or Peak using the Model
- difference between the predicted Peabody price and the actual price .

___________________________________________________

................................................................................ Predicted
.........................................% Chg... # Days..High Vol..Peabody....% Diff
...............................PFE.....Last........Last....Days ....Next Pred..Peabody/
Peak/Valley.. Date...Price...Vall/Pk....Val/Pk. W/ Date...Vall/Pk....Actual
1....Peak.....1/4/90....9.06.................................. 2....... 6.92........1.5%
2....Valley...2/26/90...6.81.....-24.8%..... 53........12......11.31.......19.0%
3....Peak.... 7/31/90...9.50......39.4%.....155.......21........7.31....... -8.7%
4....Valley...8/23/90...8.00.....-15.8%..... 23..........1.......12.61 .....-41.3%
5....Peak.....2/30/91..21.50...168.8%... 494 .........9.......18.07...... 4.9%
6....Valley...2/19/92...17.22...-19.9%......51..........8.......22.76...... 19.2%
7....Peak.....2/27/92...19.10....10.9% .......8 .........2.......15.91...... -6.4%
8...Valley....4/28/92...17.00....-11.0%......61.........3.......22.52....... 8.2%
9....Peak.....8/20/92...20.81.....22.4%....114........4........17.45 .......+0.4%
10..Valley...10/5/92....17.38....-16.5%......46.......10.......22.93.......14.7%
11..Peak.....2/14/92 ...20.00.....15.1%......70........3.......16.72........27.4%
12..Valley....2/22/93 ...13.13 ...-34.4%..... 70 .....33.......18.25 ......14.5%
13..Peak.....3/11/93 ...15.94 ....21.4%......17 . .....3.......13.08 .... -8.2%
14..Valley....3/24/93 ...14.25 ...-10.6%......13........1........19.49......3.1%
15..Peak.....6/17/93 ...18.90.....32.6%...... 85.......6.......15.73 .....13.1%
16..Valley...8/16/93 ...13.92 ....-26.4%..... 60.....13.......19.13 .....17.2%
17..Peak.....9/03/93....16.31......17.2%......18.......1.......13.41......-7.1%
18..Valley...10/04/93...14.44 ....-11.5%......31.......1.......19.70 .....11.9%
19..Peak.... 12/30/93...17.60 .....21.9%......87.......0......14.57 .......9.7%
20..Valley....3/31/94....13.29 ....-24.5%......91.......2......18.43......-18.1%
21..Peak......3/29/95....22.50.....69.4%.....363......3......18.96.......-5.8%
22..Valley.....5/15/95....20.13..... -10.6%.....47......5......25.96........0.6%
23..Peak......8/1/95......25.81......28.3%..... 78..... 5......21.93 ......-5.7%
24..Valley....9/8/95.......23.25.....-9.9%....... 38....10.....29.40 .......-12.1%
25..Peak.....12/14/95....33.44.....43.8%.......97......5.....28.77.........-4.9%
26..Valley.....1/19/96.....30.25.....-9.5%.......36....14..... 37.10.........4.9%
27..Peak.......2/13/96.....35.38....16.9%.......25.....4...... 30.50 ........-0.8%
28..Valley.....3/14/96..... 30.75....-13.1%......30.....11.....37.65.........4.0%
29..Peak.......4/3/96 ......36.19....17.7%.......20..... 2......31.23 .......-0.7%
30..Valley......5/8/96......31.44....-13.1%......35......3......38.41........-0.7%
31..Peak.......6/17/96.....38.69....23.1%.......40......3......33.47........2.0%
32..Valley......7/16/96.....32.81....-15.2%.....29......2.......39.92........-7.7%
33..Peak.....10/21/96......43.25...31.8%.......97..... 5.......37.56....... -4.9%
34..Valley....10/28/96.....39.50....-8.7%........7.......5.......47.28 ....... 3.6%
35..Peak.....11/26/96 .....45.63...15.5%......29.......4.......39.69 .......-0.1%
36..Valley....12/6/96 .......39.75...-12.9%.....10.......5.......47.56........-4.6%
37..Peak.......2/18/97......49.88...25.5%......74...... 5.......43.50.........4.8%
38..Valley..... 4/03/97......41.50...-16.8%.....44.....15.......49.48........30.9%
39..Peak.......7/07/97.......64.75.. 56.0%......95 ....18.....55.13 .........-7.4%
40...Valley....8/18/97........51.06...-21.1%.....42 ...11.....66.88.........10.1%
41...Peak....10/24/97.......73.63 ...44.2%......67.....3 ....62.00...........4.8%
42...Valley...10/27/97.......65.00 ...-11.7% .....4.....2.....85.50.........-12.1%
43...Peak....10/30/97.......74.88.....15.2% .....2..... 3.....66.00.........+0.5%
44...Valley...11/13/97.......66.31....-11.3%....14.... 3.....83.00.........-3.6%
45...Peak....12/04/97.......80.00.....20.6%....21.....2......69.13.......+0.6%
46...Valley...12/19/97.......69.56....-13.0%....15.....1......87.13........+9.0%
47...Peak......1/05/98.......79.94.....14.9% ....17....1......69.38 ....... -2.4%
48...Valley... 1/12/98...... 71.06.....-11.1% .... 7....3 .....87.00........ -4.9%
49...Peak..... 2/27/98...... 91.44.......28.7% ...46 ...1 ....79.87 ....... -5.1%
50...Valley....3/06/98.......84.13.........-8.0% .... 7 ...3....103.71.......+0.0%
51....Peak.....4/06/98 ....103.75........23.3%...31...13.....91.86 ........-3.6%
52...Valley.... 4/16/98......95.31........ -8.1%....10 ....1...116.50 ........-4.3%
53...Peak......4/21/98.....121.75.........27.7%.....5 ....8...109.12..........4.5%
54...Valley....5/17/98 .....104.75........-14.0% ...26 ..2....124.00.......+8.6%
55....Peak ....5/20/98 .....114.19.........9.0%......3 ...4 ....101.10.......+0.8%
56 ...Valley.. 6/01/98......100.38........-12.1%....12...5 ....119.75.......+4.2%
57....Peak.... 6/18/98 ....114.94..........14.5%....17...1 ...102.00........-3.4%
58....Valley.. 7/06/98 .....105.63......... -8.1% ...18 ..4.....126.59.......+5.0%
59....Peak ...7/14/98......120.56..........14.1% .....8 ..4....107.00........+9.2%
60... Valley... 8/11/98......98.00.........-18.7%.....28...1.....117.19.......+7.6%
61....Peak...8/19/98.......108.94..........10.6% .....8 ..1.......97.06........+5.5%
62....Valley.. 9/01/98 ..... 92.00......... -15.5% ...13 ..6....109.79.......+7.6%
63....Peak ...9/03/98......102.06..........10.9% ......2....5.....90.32........-3.4%
64... Valley.. 9/04/98......93.50...........-8.4%........1... 5...110.79.......+6.7%
65....Peak.....9/15/98.....103.88........+11.1%.....11...0.... 92.25.......-2.9%
66....Valley....9/21/98......95.00.........-8.5%.........6...0....110.00.....+0.7%
67....Peak.....9/28/98.....109.19........+14.9%...... 7...2......96.93.....+12.7%
68....Valley...10/08/98......86.00........-21.3%.....10...5......101.40.....+4.6%
69....Peak.....10/12/98.... 96.94........+12.7%.......4...0.... 85.30......-3.6%
70....Valley...10/14/98......88.50.........-8.7%........2...2....103.36.......-19.8%
71....Peak....12/31/98 ... 128.94......+45.7%.......78...1.....114.00.......+4.1%
72....Valley...1/12/99......109.56........-15.0%.....12...4.....127.49........-5.3%
73....Peak....2/02/99 ... 134.63.......+22.9%......21...5.....118.66.......-5.1%
74....Valley...2/09/99......125.00........-7.1%.........7.....0....139.84........-3.2%
75....Peak.....3/23/99 ... 144.50.........+15.6%....42....2.....128.27.......-4.9%
76....Valley...3/26/99.....134.88.........-6.7%........3....0.......157.25.......+4.7%
77....Peak.....4/12/99... 150.13.......+11.3%.......17....2.....131.31.......+15.0%
78....Valley...4/19/99.....115.88........-12.8%........4....4....134.89......+3.7%
79....Peak.....4/23/99... 130.13.......+12.3%.......4....3.......113.39.....-0.2%
80....Valley*...5/2/99.....113.63.......-12.7%........9....6....
........*Pending
______________________________________________
Average..Peak (1999) N=4..............+15.5%.....21.............3
Average..Peak (1998) N=13............+18.3%.....18 ............3
Average..Peak (1997) N= 5.............+32.3%.....52.............7
Average..Peak (90-99) N=40...........+27.1%.....61 ............4

Average..Valley (1999) N= 5 .......... -12.9%......8 .............3
Average..Valley (1998) N=12 ......... -12.1%.....12 .............3
Average.. Valley (1997) N= 5...........-14.2%.....10 .............2
Average..Valley (90-99) N=40 .........-14.2%.....28 .............6

The Peabody 1999 Archives

5/02/99 PFE 116.44 "Moving higher to 130s"

4/28/99 PFE@115 15/16: "Neutral with a downward bias ...price momentum and segment psychology need to reverse for PFE to change direction"

4/25/99 PFE@127: "Neutral with an upward bias...expect a run at 130."

4/20/99 PFE@118: "This is a major PFE buying opportunity....that due to the rapid decline usually freezes most investors amd PFErs from taking action."

4/18/99 PFE@127 1/16 "Moving higher from the Peabody Valley...The Model is indicating a major buy signal for PFE....Accordingly, Mr. Peabody will be adding 100 shares by the end of Tuesday's close.

4/15/99 PFE@130 "Moving higher from the Peabody Valley...After another bout of profit-taking in the am, PFE will rebound strongly on Friday..."

4/14/99 PFE@ 144 5/8 "Neutral with an upward bias...Be very alert!! PFE 1 Qt earnings could trigger a strong move up or down..If the move is down to the 140 level, another PFE buy opportunity will be upon us."

4/10/99 PFE@146 "Neutral with an upward bias...Particularly exciting week with many forces at play...Expect traditional profit-taking down to 140 before the run at 150..."
www3.techstocks.com

3/29/99 PFE@141: "Headed higher to an all-time high (144 1/2) and more.....PFE will propel pass 150 in April".
Message 8595595

3/28/99 PFE@135: " A PFE buying opportunity will surface this week....The basic PFE PFUNdamentals have never been stronger. In July, you will be wondering why you did not buy PFE at pre-adjusted split levels of 43-45 (129 to 135)."
Message 8569605

3/23/99 PFE@139.25: "PFE will reverse and move lower".
www3.techstocks.com

3/16/99 PFE@142.00: "PFE will reverse and move lower".
www3.techstocks.com

3/11/99 PFE@140.68: "PFE will reverse and move lower".
www3.techstocks.com

3/08/99 PFE@139.56: "PFE will reverse and move lower..long-term PFE is headed to the long-awaited $150 level."
www3.techstocks.com

3/07/99 PFE@136.56: "PFE will now battle @140..expect profit-taking at all-time highs and even a possible drop back to the high 120s."
www3.techstocks.com

2/28/99 PFE@131.94: "Expect a March trading range of 125 to 142".
www3.techstocks.com

2/23/99 PFE@ 133.88: "PFE moving higher to $140".
www3.techstocks.com

2/14/99 PFE@130.13: "Short-term trend "Neutral"...PFE could sink to another buying opportunity or jump to an all-time high".
www3.techstocks.com

2/09/99 PFE@125.25:" Be very alert for a buying opportunity this week."
www3.techstocks.com

2/02/99 PFE@ 132.69: "PFE will reverse and move lower....a final attempt @135 before the Valley ride begins".
www3.techstocks.com

1/31/99 PFE@128.88 :" Expect a February trading range of 119 to 135+". (Actual: 125 to 135)
www3.techstocks.com

1/28/99 PFE@127.56: "PFE has momentum and will break an all-time high and possibly the 130 level...but profit-taking will begin".
www3.techstocks.com

1/27/99 PFE@121.94: "3-4-1 and have PFun!...Thursday is the key day."
www3.techstocks.com

1/26/99 PFE@120.13: "PFE moving higher...positive trend will gain momentum."
www3.techstocks.com

1/24/99 PFE@115.75: "Near term direction unclear...positive PFE news to be announced"
www3.techstocks.com

1/10/99 PFE@122.25: "After 2 months, the Model has reversed and shows a positive upward trend....A PFE split announcement is guaranteed later this month with a 75% probability of a historic 3-1."
www3.techstocks.com

The PFE 1999 Split: All you need to know

-At the 4/22/99 Annual Meeting, shareholders officially authorized increasing the number of outstanding shares to allow a 3-1 split and a future 2-1 split.

-Following the meeting, the PFE Board of Directors met and formally approved the 3-1 split and set June 30, 1999 as its effective date.

- The record date is June 2, 1999. Purchases of PFE between June 2, 1999 and June 30, 1999 will also split 3-1.

-A split does not increase the value of PFE (100 shares@150 will be converted to 300shares@50). However, historically it certainly has not hurt the PFE price . Note PFE's growth during the split years:

Year Ending..... Dow ........PFE......% Chg .
Date................ Index.......Price.....Prior Year....Comments
12/31/87...........1,896........5.82......-25.0%....... Bear market/market crash
12/30/88...........2,169........7.25.......24.7%
12/29/89........... 2,753.......8.69......19.9%
12/31/90............2,634.......10.10.....16.2%
12/31/91............3,168.......21.00.......108.0%.....2-1 split (2/91)
12/31/92.......... 3,301.......18.13......-13.7%......Clinton elected president
12/31/93......... ..3,754........17.25.......-4.8%.......Healthcare reform pending
12/30/94......... ..3,844........19.32.......12.0%
12/29/95............5,177........31.50.......63.1% ......2-1 split (6/95)
12/30/96............6,448........41.50.......31.7%
12/31/97............7,908........74.56.......79.7% ......2-1 split (6/30/97)/Lipitor launched
12/31/98......... ..9,181........125.00......67.6%......Viagra approved (3/27/98)
05/02/99............11,015......116.44...... -6.9%.....Celebrex launched (1/19/99)