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Strategies & Market Trends : Neural Nets - A tool for the 90's -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Brian Hornby who wrote (580)	5/5/1999 11:43:00 PM
From: Carl R.	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 871

Looks like some strange post-optimization on those models. The trades don't line up well with the neural signals. I personally won't trade models like that. Carl

To: Brian Hornby who wrote (580)	5/6/1999 11:30:00 AM
From: Optim	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 871

Brian, Your models seem to be doing well. It is interesting to see the charts generated from others models because I have noticed that the neural signals differ significantly in character. For example, at Daniel Wilson's site (http://www.wildcattrader.com) his model has an unusually smooth neural signal that makes me wonder what his predicted output is. My models are much choppier, which leads me to believe that I am modeling too much of the markets noise and not enough of the underlying trend. I have noticed that systems of models tend to smooth out signal, but you need to have a minimum number of models before it occurs. Usually about 30 models or more. Just an observation anyway. Optim