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To: John Pitera who wrote (38881)5/6/1999 8:27:00 AM
From: wlheatmoon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 86076
 
John and Mythsters,
Read through the info on DSL and thought a little about the potential players in the nuts and bolts of telcomm/internet.....seems to me that the whole world keeps getting smaller and the reason for this is instantaneous communication. I think this trend will continue and my thoughts on the players that will prove financially rewarding for the next several years are---

AWRE
BRCM
TWX (roadrunner, cable)
QWST
T (big mofo, large and in charge)
UNPH
ALA
WCOM (getting to be a big mofo)

Obviously, many of these are overpriced, but I would like to build a portfolio around these players if and when there's a bit of a correction.....all your thoughts would be appreciated.
Thanks.

mike

thanks.
mike



To: John Pitera who wrote (38881)5/6/1999 9:05:00 AM
From: wlheatmoon  Respond to of 86076
 
reading through some old news and found some interesting stuff....

from TSC 3/18/99

When used in modems or at a phone company's central office,
Aware's technology enables copper-wire networks to deliver data
at rates that are more than 25 times faster than 56-kilobit
modems. The key is that you can still use your boring old
phone lines without disrupting phone service on the wire.
Aware's technology, which is simpler and faster than earlier incarnations of digital subscriber line technology,
adheres to a standard called G.Lite, approved initially
by the International Telecommunications Union in October.
The ITU is expected to ratify the standard in June.

Home Is Where the Cable Modem Is
Baby Bells follow cable modems into the home

Subscribers 1998 actual 1999 est. 2002 est.
Cable modems 400,000 1 million 4.3 million
Consumer DSL
(includes g.lite) 25,000 250,000 2.7 million
Total subscribers 425,000 1.25 million 7 million

Aware turned a profit of $575,000, or 3 cents a share, on
revenue of $4 million in the fourth quarter, reversing a
year-earlier loss of $1.8 million on revenue of $1.8
million. Analyst Charles Pluckhahn with Stephens, an
investment bank based in Little Rock, Ark., predicts
gross margins will jump to 84% this year from 55% last
quarter, and operating margins will increase to 22% from
6%. Stephens has no underwriting relationship with Aware.

Aware might just achieve the success that has so far
eluded PairGain (PAIR:Nasdaq), an older DSL supplier
whose stock is down 75% since early 1997. PairGain
sells to Baby Bells but has grappled with severe price
competition from rivals like Adtran (ADTN:Nasdaq).
PairGain sales were flat last year, and profits fell 9%,
excluding one-time items. The company is also
developing G.Lite products, but is lagging behind Aware
and will not ship until next month.


Bell Atlantic (BEL:NYSE) is testing G.Lite in
Manhattan now and hopes to have ADSL available for 10
million customers by year-end. It hasn't selected a
vendor yet. SBC (SBC:NYSE) and America Online
(AOL:NYSE) have paired up to provide ADSL, includingG.Lite.

At least with Aware's technology, the Bells might have a
chance against cable companies.