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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rusty Johnson who wrote (22257)5/6/1999 10:13:00 AM
From: Deliveryman  Respond to of 74651
 
I don't think anyone would say that MSFT is the best in every market. You need to watch the way they have in the past, studied the competition, improved their product, and used all of their resources to win.

NT is still a newer product, and still being worked on. Try and remember CPM, Lotus 123, Wordperfect, Borland C++, dBase III, and Netscape Navigator. Just to name a few.

You also have to remember how small the market for NT Server software is, when compared to for example the OFFICE Application software market. Let the Unix variant players divide up the internet server market.... and leave the applications to MSFT.



To: Rusty Johnson who wrote (22257)5/6/1999 11:35:00 PM
From: Rusty Johnson  Respond to of 74651
 
The Five Facets of Bill Gates's Tech Vision

Business Week Online

FINALLY, A SIMPLE WAY TO FIND STUFF

Can't find that word processing file you're sure you created last month? You're not alone. Today, Microsoft's applications store
data in a host of different places. But Gates's engineers are working on technology that will allow people to search in one way for
key words in E-mail, databases, spreadsheets, and word processing files.

INTERACTIVE WEB PAGES

Most Web pages are created with technology called HTML (hypertext markup language). It makes for static pages. Now comes
eXtensible markup language (XML), which allows software writers to easily embed calculator programs and other interactive
features into Web pages. Microsoft plans on including it in all its programs.

DIGITAL PHOTOGRAPHY

Picture-taking is going digital. Today, it's complicated to use your PC to capture and edit digital photos. Gates wants to make it
much simpler. Microsoft's upcoming Windows 2000 operating system will let people transfer photos from their digital cameras to
their PCs just by pressing a button on the camera and pointing at the PC.

3-D IMAGES

Digital images are becoming commonplace in PC games and other consumer programs. Now, Gates wants to go a giant step
further, creating technology that will allow game players to swing baseball bats or golf clubs, record their swings with a video
camera, and see the effects as 3-D images in PC games. For the duffer, that will be much more satisfying than making a bunch of
mouse clicks to play virtual golf.

JUST TELL THE PC WHAT TO DO

The keyboard and mouse are fine for most computing tasks, but the latest ways to input and manipulate information in your
computer are much more natural--voice commands and handwriting recognition. You can expect to see Microsoft make use of the
gee-whiz technologies in everything from tablet computers to interactive games.



To: Rusty Johnson who wrote (22257)5/6/1999 11:39:00 PM
From: Rusty Johnson  Respond to of 74651
 
Q&A with the Visionary-In-Chief

Business Week Online

A talk with Chairman Bill Gates on the world beyond Windows

Since the government's antitrust case against Microsoft Corp. went to court last October, Chairman William H. Gates III has kept a low profile, granting few wide-ranging interviews. BUSINESS WEEK Correspondent Michael Moeller and Senior Editor Kathy Rebello caught up with him during a stopover in Chicago on Apr. 26. He explained the company's sweeping reorganization, then supplied additional answers via E-mail.

Q:Microsoft's financials have never looked better. So why reorganize? Some would say if it isn't broken, why fix it?

A: Companies fail when they become complacent and imagine that they will always be successful. That's even more dangerous in a world that is changing faster than ever, especially technologically. So we are always challenging ourselves: Are we making what customers want and working on the products and technologies they'll want in future? Are we staying ahead of all our competitors? What don't our customers like about what we do, and what are we doing about it? Are we organized most effectively to achieve our goals? Even the most successful companies must constantly reinvent themselves.

Q: What are the three key principles of the reorganization?

A: First, our vision had always been a computer on every desk and in every home, and we've gone a long way towards achieving that. But it was also clear that we needed to build on that vision. Although the PC is still at the heart of computing, it is being joined by a large number of new devices--from palmsize PCs to smart telephones. At the same time, the Internet has changed everything by giving the world a level of connectivity that was undreamed of just five years ago. So we needed a new vision centered around the Internet and focused on giving people the power to do anything they want, anytime they want, anywhere they want, and on any device.

Second, the new structure puts the customer at the center of everything we do by reorganizing our business divisions by customer
segment rather than along product lines.

Third, we're now holding the leaders of our new business divisions accountable to think and act as if they are independent businesses. That will give us even more flexibility to respond to changes in technology and the marketplace.

Q:You've been freed to spend more time as the company's visionary. So what technology do you see on the horizon that will dramatically change people's lives?

A: I'm optimistic about what the industry can achieve, but the word ''dramatic'' will mean different things to different customers. If
you're a large enterprise customer, being able to connect your employees with on-demand videoconferencing for collaboration would be dramatic. If you are head of IT for a large corporation and can deploy software, do updates, and change users on a companywide network of PCs, and never visit a desktop, ever--that's dramatic. If you have a PC at home and use the Web to buy products such as a car, a TV, or a dishwasher, and if you can use your PC to track the warranties, find the nearest repair center, and have your PC store remind you of all that information--that would be dramatic.

Q:Do you think information appliances will become as popular as desktops? If so, how will Microsoft fare in that world?

A: Desktop PCs have been incredibly successful. Most businesses have them, and 50% of homes do. And for most people, the PC will remain their key computing tool, but it will also work alongside a lot of other cool devices. That's why we've expanded our vision to giving people the power to do what they want, where and when they want, on any device. That means on PCs, handheld PCs, phones, or smart TVs such as WebTV. We're working hard to provide the software, like Windows CE, for a range of devices. I'm not sure that everyone who currently has a PC will also have a handheld, but the market will be very large.

Q:Is the company more serious now about going beyond the PC and Windows?

A: We've been doing things that go way beyond the PC for a long time....Who is the biggest mover in TV-based Internet computing? Well, that's us. Has it taken over the PC? No, it has not. Is it something important that we believe in? Absolutely. So it's always hard to bring the right balance to those discussions....The last thing I want to do is get this notion that we won't have any full-screen devices and we won't be creating documents ever again.

Q:Which three companies do you consider to be your biggest competitors today, and why?

A: In 25 years in this industry, I have never seen so much competition in every single area, and the competitive landscape and market boundaries are constantly changing. In the software industry, the barriers to entry are very low, so anyone with great ideas can build a business. New competitors such as Linux are constantly emerging and growing amazingly fast. In the U.S. alone, $14.3 billion in venture capital was raised in 1998. That was a record, and all of the 24% growth [in venture capital] last year was invested in IT companies. Plus the VC number doesn't count the cash that companies like IBM, Intel, Compaq, Time Warner, Disney, and many others are investing in startups. So it's hard to name just three competitors, because we have so many in each of our businesses, and they are changing constantly. But I can probably narrow today's list down to IBM, Sun, AOL/Netscape,
Novell, Linux, and Oracle.

There's an unchanging competitor too--ourselves. Customers can choose whether to stay with the software they have or upgrade to
our new products. We have to ensure that all new releases are much, much better than our previous products. If they aren't,
customers won't upgrade.

Q:Is there any threat that keeps you up at night?

A: Well, my daughter used to keep me up, but she's older now. I imagine when our new baby comes I will also have some sleepless nights. Seriously, every year we have been in business there have been serious threats to our future. But we just work hard and keep focused.

Q:Has the Justice Dept.'s antitrust suit against Microsoft had a significant effect on the company?

A: The legal side of the thing doesn't really affect the people at Microsoft who are building the software, working with customers, or anything like that. If you looked at my calendar, you'd find maybe 2% to 3% of my time is spent on this. I did my deposition. That was a few days. I talk to lawyers every couple weeks about how they're seeing things....Contrary to this image that's created in the press, it's not something that is a major focus for me.

Q:Can you imagine yourself doing anything besides leading Microsoft?

A: I've said many times that I have the best job in the world. I get to work on really interesting projects, like figuring out how to
make digital, audio, and video so easy that a grandmother can see her three-month-old granddaughter on her PC. I get to work with an incredible group of smart people who are helping solve hard technical problems. I love the software business, so I plan to stick around for a long time.



To: Rusty Johnson who wrote (22257)5/6/1999 11:43:00 PM
From: Rusty Johnson  Respond to of 74651
 
'I'm Trying to Let Other People Dive in before I Do'

Business Week Online

Steven A. Ballmer's explosive temper is legendary. Back in his bad old days, before being appointed Microsoft Corp.'s president
nine months ago, Ballmer would shout himself hoarse if a lieutenant didn't do his bidding fast enough. His motivational techniques
drew heavily from Attila the Hun. When he directed the company's Windows product group, he put the fear of God into engineers
by bellowing at them and pounding a baseball bat into his palm. And don't forget his outburst last May after the Justice Dept. sued
Microsoft for antitrust law violations. ''To heck with Janet Reno!'' he blurted out.

Today, you'll find a tamer Ballmer. Since he took over running Microsoft's day-to-day operations, the 19-year veteran has worked
hard to fashion a leadership style that's diplomatic rather than bullying--more Eisenhower than Patton. He still has the booming
voice, but what he does with it is more constructive. ''I'm trying to temper myself. I don't think I've mellowed. But I try to redirect
my energy,'' he says, bursting into a raucous laugh. The difference is obvious to people who know Ballmer well. ''He's certainly
changed. He's calmer,'' says Microsoft board member Jon A. Shirley.

The fact is, Ballmer, 43, is coming into his own as Microsoft's president--and putting his mark on the company to boot. Since
Ballmer got the job, he hasn't been content just to make the trains run on time. He's spearheading the effort to reshape Microsoft.
He dreamed up a plan--which he calls Vision Version 2--for energizing employees, focusing them on customers, and broadening
their outlook far beyond the narrow confines of the PC and Windows.

WILD CHEERS. It's quite a different role for Ballmer. He has long played loyal sidekick to Chairman William H. Gates III. The
two met as undergraduates at Harvard in 1973. Both were math whizzes, but Ballmer was more outgoing. He managed the college
football team, the Harvard Crimson newspaper, and the student literary magazine. Ballmer also was more firmly rooted in
day-to-day tasks than the absent-minded Gates. Once, after Gates left his dorm door and window open to weather and burglars
when he departed for Christmas vacation, a watchful Ballmer battened down the place for him.

Gates eventually dropped out of Harvard to form Microsoft. But he didn't forget Ballmer. In 1980, he coaxed his pal to leave
Stanford business school to join the fledgling company and whip into shape its chaotic business operations. The offer: A $50,000
salary and 7% of the company--a stake now worth nearly $20 billion. Later, Gates called on Ballmer to goose delivery of
Microsoft's crucial Windows operating system. Then he relied on his friend to build a sales organization to compete with IBM in
large corporate accounts.

Ballmer was always the passionate heart of the company. He led wild cheers at company meetings--leaping around on stage like a
burly Mick Jagger. On a dare, he once dove into a pond on the company's Redmond (Wash.) campus in November. Charismatic as
he was, Ballmer always remained in Gates's shadow. Now Gates is sharing the limelight. ''Of the upper management at Microsoft,
Steve's the one that gets it,'' says a former company executive.

Not only does Ballmer get it, but he's doing something about it. As part of Vision 2, he hopes to transform a culture where he and
Gates made too many decisions themselves. Now, he's pushing authority down into the ranks. And he's more inclined to listen to
subordinates before he speaks. At a review of the Consumer Windows Div.'s product plans on Apr. 30, for instance, he made
polite suggestions to managers, rather than quickly telling them what they ought to do. ''I see him coaching more than in the
past--as opposed to pushing,'' says Bill Veghte, the group's general manager. Ballmer admits his biggest challenge is delegating.
''I'm used to diving in deeply,'' he says. ''Now I'm trying to let other people dive in before I do.''

Ballmer's getting atta-boys for his efforts. Gates praises the way he shepherded Microsoft's new E-commerce strategy. The
company hopes to get 1 million businesses to use its software to create electronic stores linked to the MSN Web portal. ''I think it's
a brilliant idea,'' says Gates. Others say Ballmer has notched up the level of teamwork in the company by forming a Business
Leadership Team--14 managers who meet monthly to coordinate strategies across the operating units. ''Early days, but signs are
good,'' says Paul A. Maritz, executive vice-president in charge of the Developer Group.

Ballmer appears willing to do whatever it takes to make Microsoft successful. And that includes giving up his beloved baseball
bat. In late March, when marketing vice-president Deborah N. Willingham spotted him with the bat in a hallway and urged him to
be careful, he handed it over to her. ''He was saying you're the leaders--the bat swingers. It's a new world,'' Willingham says.
Ballmer still unleashes his famous temper now and then--but at least he isn't swinging a bat anymore.


By Steve Hamm in New York



To: Rusty Johnson who wrote (22257)5/7/1999 1:39:00 AM
From: Stormweaver  Respond to of 74651
 
No doubt UNIX has proved itself as a robust, scalable server OS. NT's niche is file/print and mid scale web/database, along with being #1 on the desktop.

I see Linux giving more headaches for UNIX in the short-term since proprietary iron UNIX shops (Sun) will tend to look at Linux (UNIX-like) first as compared to Wintel shops as a cheaper alternative.