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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Lacelle who wrote (7004)5/6/1999 6:23:00 PM
From: D. Long  Respond to of 17770
 
<<I guess that means there is going to be a war.
Groovy. I hope Bubba and his politically correct
war machine win, for my sake. After all, if
NATO loses this one it will prove once and for
all that it is a finished organization.

In the big picture, it does not really matter.
In one hundred years, people won't even remember
this matter. Who remembers the Armenians? I
guess its all water under the bride>>

I dont think there will be a war, I would be very surprised if it came to that. Neither side wants a general European conflagration, and as long as that is the case, there will be a resolution.

As to the end of NATO, I doubt that highly. The end of this trial expanded NATO role, maybe, but not the end of the NATO-as-united-Western-defensive-front NATO. The principle failures of NATO have been a result of the very way in which NATO was structured. NATO was structured to bypass sovereignty of its member nations in the face of a pre-eminent collective national interest: keeping the Russian steam roller from crushing Western Europe. In the case of a marginal security issue such as Kosovo, where no contingency plans have been hard-wired into the NATO military consciousness, national interest, and hence national conflict of interest, rises to the fore. I deplore Clinton's bright idea of expanding NATO to cover the entire Atlantic region and act as a first strike interventionist force. NATO is structurally incapable of such a role. Kosovo is making this all too painfully clear. This wont finish NATO, but hopefully it will point out the limits of both US and NATO power, and hence temper future US and European policy.

Derek