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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (39863)5/8/1999 9:05:00 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill,

>>>, BK WARNING!!! (This is not a watch, it is a warning)
SitStat (Situation status): Yesterday, SCY went to .88... the lowest in history AGAIN. Barron's figures shows it is better by over 5% to be in bonds. Now that we have broached 11,000, that confirms the belief that this market is on an unstoppable upward tear. BUT I DON'T BELIEVE! <<<<<<

This morning I believe I saw a pattern which is very similar to that just when the market started falling last JULY. That pattern never occured again since that selloff.

Im not saying its the BK, since I dont know, but would at least feel that it could be at least 5%, and if it turns into something bigger,
so be it. Its hard for me to make the call on the big move, but Im more accurate with timing.

I also have a CLASS SELL SIGNAL on the DOW. I will go into detail on the website, this weekend. Still doing research.

seeya




To: William H Huebl who wrote (39863)5/8/1999 10:42:00 AM
From: Follies  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Open question to the thread...

When the BK happens, Greenspam will flood the market with liquidity and drop interest rates yet printing money will devalue the currency causing inflation which dictates higher rates.

How does this get resolved? Where are interest rates, inflation, and POG 6 months, 1 year and 3 years after a BK?



To: William H Huebl who wrote (39863)5/9/1999 2:55:00 PM
From: Skeet Shipman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill,
My we're a bearsum bunch this weekend. And, the DOW setting new highs. High yes, but unrealistically???
DOW 11031.59 Exp.5yGrowthRate 13.3% Yield 1.58% ROE 22% PE 26 LB 5.76
Do you really want to move your money from the DOW to the bond now?
Skeet