To: Jon Tara who wrote (16253 ) 5/8/1999 8:22:00 PM From: Esvida Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 64865
Bob's opinions track closely to the party line at Sun. I for one beg to differ from my chief's opinion that ASP will make obsolete private ownership of software/hardware. The analogy to the phone goes only so far. It's so apt when one wants to highlight the difference in reliability and ease of use, but anything beyond that will stretch the analogy into a contortion. The degree of customization in a phone pales compared to that of a software system. For ASP to work for every company, everyone will have to settle for a very few common sets of processes in each industry. Where do companies look for an advantage then? Why do Olympic athletes continue to seek new methods (processes and equipment) of training? Why can't they all adopt a 'best' set of training methods and then concentrate on training their best to them? If outsourcing is the panecea, why do people still own their cars? Of course, leasing a car is beneficial in certain situation, but it does not work for everyone in every occasion. I for one also think that set top box as a generic computer will flop. Why can't one move a pc closer to a tv and connect to it via a tv/video card? One can even use an infrared keyboard/trackball so that the tv does not stare straight at and so close to one's face. With an mpeg2 card and a good sound card, one can even integrate a pc into a home theater system. If a thin java-based device can control all electric devices in a home, what stops a JVM running on a pc from doing the same thing? But, that does not invalidate Sun's premises that to widen access to the web, the infrastructure will need to be beefed up many folds. It does not invalidate the requirement client software needs to be really thin to minimize cost of ownership. So, the network is still the computer and whether one connects to it via a pc and a thin client does not make any difference in terms of connectivity. Other factors will determine whether one chooses a thin or thick client platform. Regarding MSFT and ATT, please remember that a pc w/o an OS is useless, but a tv w/o a settop box is still fully functional. Sun would be so much better off using its resources to assure java compatibility than spending $5 billion to buy the rights to build portable on-ramps to an alternate internet highway. Like you, this is purely MHO.