To: Alex who wrote (33540 ) 5/9/1999 8:46:00 PM From: goldsnow Respond to of 116779
Gold miners face another crisis By Stephen Wyatt Australia's gold industry is facing another crisis of confidence after Britain announced it would sell more than half of its $10 billion of gold reserves. The shock announcement sent the price of gold bullion plunging more than $US10 an ounce in overseas markets over the weekend, and gold stocks in North America and South Africa also fell sharply. Australian gold shares face a similar sell-off when the market opens today. Last week, the Australian gold index gained 14 per cent after renewed inflation concerns helped push the gold price up to $US290 an ounce. On Friday alone, the index gained 8.5 per cent. The commodity-sensitive Australian dollar has already been hit by the news, losing more than a cent on Friday night from a 14-month high of US67.40¢ to US66.30¢. It regained some ground to close in New York at US67.14¢. Gold is Australia's second largest commodity export after coal. The British Treasury announcement that it would sell 415 tonnes, or almost 60 per cent of its 717 tonnes of gold reserves, refocused attention on the massive amount of bullion resting in the vaults of the world's central banks. Dealers and fund managers rushed to sell the metal. Gold fell to a low of $US279.50/oz, before edging higher to around $US282.50/oz at the close in New York. North American and South African gold shares suffered badly, with the Philadelphia gold and silver equity index (XAU) down 12.5 per cent on Friday and the Johannesburg gold index down almost 5 per cent. In the past week, Normandy Mining and Newcrest have both gained 15 per cent and Delta Gold is up 21 per cent. The British Treasury will reduce its reserves to 300 tonnes by a series of auctions, starting with 25 tonnes on July 6, then 25 tonnes in September, November, January and March. The balance of about 300 tonnes will be sold over the medium term. This gold "will be replaced by foreign currency assets in a prudent restructuring of reserve holdings", a UK Treasury spokesman said on Friday. Market sources say 40 per cent will go into euros, 40 per cent in US dollars and 20 per cent in yen. This central bank gold sale is just another nail in gold's status as a financial instrument, a status it has enjoyed for the past 300 years and that led to the world's central banks holding a massive 30,000 tonnes of gold, a third of the gold ever mined. However, for the past decade, central banks have been trying to reweight their portfolios. Canada has sold 622 tonnes since 1979, Belgium 1,000 tonnes since 1988, the Netherlands 700 tonnes since 1992, Australia 167 tonnes in 1997 and Argentina 124 tonnes in 1997. The IMF, subject to final approval, will be selling 300 tonnes of its 3,200-tonne hoard and Switzerland 1,300 tonnes (subject to legislative change). The latest announcement could see the gold market move to new 18-year price lows this year, said Mr Andy Smith, precious metals analyst with Mitsui Metals in London. The UK Treasury has impressed on the market the orderly nature of its forthcoming gold sale program. Many Australian gold producers, like Mr Robert de Crespigny, of Normandy, welcome orderliness and transparency when the official sector decides to sell gold. They recognise that central banks will be selling gold and argue that the market impact of such sales would never have been as severe if these sales had been executed more openly. This would have and will reduce market uncertainty. However, "how many orderly sales equals a riot?" asks Mr Smith. "On one view, this is a UK pre-emptive strike on more leisurely Swiss and IMF intentions. This pattern of 'be first' confirms a 'prisoner's dilemma' among official gold holders." afr.com.au