Missile blow to China's liberals
By Rowan Callick , Hong Kong
The "precision" NATO missiles that struck the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade on Friday night scored a huge collateral hit on China's liberal and globalising establishment.
The official sanctioning of the rage that followed over the weekend, in city after city all over China, indicates that hardline anti-Western leaders may be reassuming elements of the foreign policy grip that they had lost over the past few years.
The first and biggest casualty may be China's accession to the World Trade Organisation.
The attacks on Western missions in China were the most violent since those of Red Guards during the Cultural Revolution 30 years ago.
The Government's official response to the missile attack, in which four people were killed, including Mr Shao Yunhuan, a journalist with the official press agency Xinhua, described it as a "barbarian act". The Communist Party's mouthpiece, People's Daily, editorialised that NATO had deliberately "spilled Chinese blood".
Galvanised by the visit of Premier Mr Zhu Rongji to the United States last month, negotiators from the US, Europe and Japan had recently visited Beijing in an attempt to finalise a deal for China's membership before the next multilateral round starts later this year, in effect shutting out entrants for a further two years.
China-US relations reached a peak last year after the well-received week-long visit by President Bill Clinton, following the US visit of President Jiang Zemin.
Since then, the relationship has gone through a stickier patch, over the defence of Taiwan, the alleged theft of nuclear secrets by a Chinese-American scientist, the jailing of the leaders of the embryonic Chinese Democratic Party, and the still-widening trade gap, with China assuming from Japan the biggest balance in its favour.
But the pragmatic, frank, and dry Mr Zhu was given a warm reception and media accolades in the US, and the relationship appeared to be back on track.
The early stridency of Chinese attacks on the NATO bombing had been toned down ~ particularly since the unnerving demonstration by 15,000 members of the Fa Lun Gong sect in Beijing a fortnight ago in order to avoid encouraging public outbursts that might become the occasion of protests on domestic issues too.
Now the gloves are off and, as nationalist fervour builds in China towards the 50th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic on October 1, anti-Western sentiment may be expected to continue to build.
This may also act as a handy distraction from any attempts within China to mark the 10th anniversary on June 4 of the Tiananmen massacre. The association of democracy with the West, and especially with the United States, which is viewed in China as synonymous with NATO, will seriously diminish sympathy with anyone seeking to use the anniversary to campaign for greater democracy or liberalisation at home.
Mr Zhu was already facing a Herculean task to convince stuttering domestic industries that they might be the ultimate beneficiaries from the concessions he has already made in WTO negotiations.
Now he faces a far harder task to assemble the political support needed to make further liberalising progress, including on measures outstanding with Australia such as on wool, barley, sugar, cotton, fresh fruit and vegetables.
Australia already stands to benefit from the recently announced liberalisation of the finance and telecommunications sectors.
But if the WTO bid fails, even concessions already announced may yet be withdrawn such is the sourness in Beijing. The business world of the NATO countries, and especially US corporations that have pressed Washington hard to accept China's accession, would be furious initially, at least, with their own governments.
The change in China's mood, reinforcing the recently outmoded pro-Russian and pro-Third World positions of leaders such as Mr Li Peng, who is second in the Communist Party hierarchy, threatens to isolate Mr Zhu and his supporters on the issue of trade liberalisation.
Floundering State businesses were waving the flag of patriotism as a last resort to ward off new foreign competitors; now they may be relieved, as they find their campaign strikes a winning note.
Much will depend on which route President Jiang, the canny opportunist who has succeeded the late Mr Deng Xiaoping as China's paramount leader, now chooses to take behind which camp he will swing his decisive support.
China was strongly opposed to NATO's action from the first not least because of the precedent it feared over intervention relating to its own unhappy province of Tibet, and to its claimed "rebel province", Taiwan.
The strength and pervasiveness of Chinese anger over the attack on the embassy was demonstrated by the range of protests over the weekend.
A mob stormed the US Consulate in Chengdu, the capital of the central Chinese province of Sichuan, setting on fire the Consul-General's house, the reception area and the computer room, before firefighters put out the blaze and 2,000 baton-wielding People's Liberation Army troops cleared the building.
In Beijing, thousands, led by students from the capital's most prestigious universities, chanted in English slogans such as "down with US imperialism", "pay blood debts in blood", "down with US running dogs" and "Clinton is Hitler" the last reflecting images commonly reproduced in Chinese newspapers since the war began between NATO and Serbia.
They gathered in the usually quiet, leafy, diplomatic area of Beijing, many arriving by chartered buses, and hurled stones, smashing windows in the US Embassy, attacking cars owned by US diplomats, burning US flags, and hurling bricks and bottles at the adjacent British Embassy.
In Shanghai, thousands also gathered, as in Beijing many following university banners, to throw bottles and eggs at the US Consulate, where a roar greeted the lowering of the American flag.
And crowds also formed to protest outside NATO consulates in the southern city of Guangzhou.
The US Embassy has warned its citizens to stay off the streets in China after reports of verbal harassment.
afr.com.au
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