To: Machaon who wrote (7739 ) 5/10/1999 10:08:00 PM From: goldsnow Respond to of 17770
Skopje-Belgrade deal seen behind empty border 01:41 p.m May 10, 1999 Eastern By Anatoly Verbin SKOPJE, May 10 (Reuters) - Analysts and aid workers said on Monday a tacit agreement between Belgrade and Skopje was the most likely explanation for the fact that virtually no Kosovo refugees have come to Macedonia in the last five days. They have talked,'' said a Western defence analyst who declined to be named. He said he believed Macedonia had asked the Yugoslav government to block refugees from fleeing to the neighbouring country: ''Macedonia has asked the Serbs to do so.'' A worker with the UNHCR refugee agency with experience in the region agreed: ''I do think they have done a deal,'' she said. ''They definitely have been talking.'' Thousands of Kosovans were crossing daily until last Wednesday when Macedonia closed its border and pushed, according to UNCHCR workers who witnessed the incident, up to 1,000 refugees back into Kosovo where they were rounded by baton-wielding Serbian police and pushed further north. Family members say prominent Kosovo intellectual Fehmi Agani was killed after Serb police seized him from a train which was turned back at the border. Since then, the Macedonian government -- which makes no secret it allows refugees only under Western pressure and in return for promises for bigger aid -- has said it will only let in as many refugees as were being moved to third countries. Thousands have been moved out, but only about 100 have come in. They had valid documents with exit visas or in Balkan speak they had ''connections'' -- that is, enough money to pay their way in. Casting further confusion into the plot, the government says the border is open and has assured a stream of visiting European politicians and aid officials that refugees can come if they want. The fate and intentions of those inside Kosovo remain unclear. Thousands cross into Albania daily but local residents say some Kosovo areas are tightly closed by the Serbs, making it possible for ethnic Albanians in adjacent regions to head only for Macedonia. Western sources say aerial reconnaissance shows no
concentration of people near the Yugoslavian-Macedonian border, but police sources in Skopje say they expect a new influx of up to 20,000 at any moment. The Western defence analyst said he did not believe in the theory put forward by European Union humanitarian aid commissioner Emma Bonino on Sunday. She said she believed that Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic had plugged the border to accumulate ''a human bomb'' of up to 690,000 displaced people inside Kosovo which he could detonate any moment by letting them go en masse in order to destabilise Macedonia. The analyst said Belgrade's relations with Macedonia, a former Yugoslav republic, were much better than with Albania which welcomes ethnic kin from Kosovo. ''Macedonia wants to keep it that way,'' he said. Macedonia's Orthodox majority is mostly opposed to NATO air raids against fellow Slavs and the government knows that the war will end one way or another, Western attention to it will fade and the big neighbour will always be there to the north. Copyright 1999 Reuters Limited