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Japan Predicts Economic Turnaround (05/04/99)  By MARTIN CRUTSINGER=  AP Economics Writer=            WASHINGTON (AP) _ Japanese Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi is  telling President Clinton what he wants to hear _ that the world's  second largest economy is poised to make a ''major turnaround''  that will provide relief for a troubled global economy and the  soaring U.S. trade deficit.            But while the United States and Japan announced a flurry of  trade deals during Obuchi's meetings Monday with Clinton, the  president and others in his administration pointedly warned that  Japan must address a host of other irritants, including, most  importantly, rising steel shipments to the United states.            A flood of cheap steel from Japan and other countries has  resulted in thousands of layoffs in the American industry, raising  a protectionist clamor in Congress as America's trade deficit hit a  record $169 billion last year.            Concerns over the widening U.S. deficit with Japan, which  climbed to a near-record $64 billion last year, were raised by  members of Congress today in meetings with Obuchi.            Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, R-Miss., called Obuchi's  visit to America ''very timely'' because of the number of issues  that need to be addressed in the relationship between the world's  two largest economies.            Lott said the discussions with Senate leaders covered ''a number  of issues from economics to trade to security.'' He singled out  Japan's $200 million in economic support to deal with the Kosovo  refugee situation for praise.            Lott said Congress was appreciative of Japan's support in the  effort ''to bring a peaceful solution and to address the  humanitarian needs of the Kosovars.''            America's rising trade deficit has battered American  manufacturers in steel and other industries, who have seen their  overseas markets shrink because of spreading recessions in other  nations, and have had to compete against rising imports pouring  into the United States, the only major economy doing well.            The House has already passed a bill that would impose global  quotas on steel imports even though the administration has said the  measure is clearly in violation of U.S. commitments to the World  Trade Organization.            While steel shipments from Japan are running below last year's  levels, Clinton said he impressed on Obuchi the need to make sure  they remain low. The administration has been pushing Japan to boost  its own economy to help lift its Asian neighbors out of recession  and take pressure off the U.S. trade deficit.            On that score, Obuchi brought an optimistic forecast, saying  massive amounts of government spending and serious efforts to deal  with Japan's banking crisis should soon begin to bear fruit.            ''I explained to the president that Japan is swiftly and boldly  taking every measure in order to address the difficulties we are  facing,'' Obuchi said at a joint news conference with Clinton on  Monday.            Obuchi predicted his government's effort would result in a  ''major turnaround'' that will pull Japan out of its worst  recession in 50 years.            Clinton and Obuchi both welcomed a new package of trade  agreements announced Monday that are designed to boost American  exports to Japan.            Japan pledged to take a series of actions, including reducing  hookup charges for foreign telephone companies seeking to crack  Japan's vast telecommunications market, revising regulations that  have prohibited sale of American lumber for homes and apartments  and shortening the approval time for new drugs offered by U.S.  pharmaceutical companies.            These measures were follow-ups to an initial package announced  by the two countries at last year's Group of Seven economic summit  in Birmingham, England.            In addition to measures benefiting specific industries, the  administration struck deals it said would expand opportunities for  American businesses to make foreign investments in Japan and  strengthen Japan's antitrust enforcement.            As evidence of what one U.S. official called a ''sea change'' in  Japan's approach to economic issues, the administration pointed to  a column Obuchi wrote last week in The New York Times in which he  said, ''Unless we adopt a more flexible economy driven by the  market, Japan is doomed to economic and technological decline.''            But private analysts said the structural problems Japan is  facing are so severe that it is far from clear that Japan is  willing to go far enough in changing its society.            ''The Japanese economy is so over-regulated and structurally  distorted that the normal economic tools don't work,'' said Clyde  Prestowitz, head of the Economic Strategy Institute, a Washington  think tank devoted to trade issues.            Obuchi offered Clinton support on the administration's efforts  to deal with the Kosovo crisis and pledged $200 million in  financial aid to help affected nations in the region. The two  leaders also pledged continued cooperation in dealing with nuclear  and missile threats posed by North Korea.