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To: Bernard Levy who wrote (1509)	5/11/1999 8:56:00 AM
From: Frank A. Coluccio	Respond to of 5853

Dr. Levy, only to the extent that terminal gear lags fulfilling the next plateau of potential offered by the new medium. This is quite a paradoxical situation. Ironically, it's the creation of an illusion that there is a glut that will foster the argument against itself, in the end. The benefits of abundance could not perpetuate or even be born in scarcity. What you are implying has to do with an unused glut, then. Such a glut would occur if end users and their suppliers did not take advantage of optical/photonic capabilities in a timely manner, as is the case of the last mile (where no one has stepped up to the plate yet) but this, IMO, will only be temporary. And it'll be lumpy, i.e., any assessment would not be evenly distributed in a regional or other predictably topographical manner. I tend to think beyond such limitations of innovation and deployment, with a sense of assurance that this wont happen, but for chasmic situations, and perhaps where monolopies have yet to face the challenges of competition. That area may still cover large land masses, but it's shrinking. Faster in some regions than in others. From my vantage point, which is dealing with extremely high capacity systems in financials and emerging carrier markets, new service spaces are materializing before my eyes which will allow carriers (particularly the upstarts) and enterprises to harness rapidly unfolding wavelength technologies, as soon as they pass muster, or proof of concept. Notably, and as a single example of only one mundane utility to benefit soon, is the pent up demand for archival and daily refreshing and synchronization of plain vanilla data bases in multi-location institutions. I'd like to discuss a number of more-compelling uses some other time, which I see as imminent examples of why the glut wont happen anytime soon. But getting back to the archival and synch task, it will be facilitated greatly (indeed, permitted to take place in a real-time, economically-viable manner for the first time) by dumbed down torrents of bandwidth that would otherwise be beyond the reach of even the most affluent organizations. This is just one mundane task, perhaps demonstrated by me due to a momentary sense of myopia, that doesn't even begin to address the more appealing aspects of optical which will be afforded by the opening of the next windows. Regards, Frank Coluccio ps - I've received several calls during the past couple of weeks by some top-tier vendors (some of whom have released some rather sensational news stories during the past week) suggesting that I look into the new possibilities afforded by optical. One of them was kind enough to read from a prepared script (that's what it sounded like to me, in any event), offering me an over-the-phone kind of tutorial as to what lies ahead. When I interrupted one of them at one point and asked what the channel spacing was that was being used in his 100+ (to protect the innocent) wavelength device, he politely asked, "Mr. Coluccio, would you hold for a moment, please?"