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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: HairBall who wrote (13601)	5/11/1999 11:00:00 PM
From: Vitas	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Larry, >>>On the top chart on this page, we have aligned the vertical grid lines with our idealized cycle lows, and the arrows point out when the actual price lows appeared with respect to these cycle bottoms. Perhaps the most interesting personality quirk is that since 1989, every third cycle low is less important than the two which preceded it. This is highlighted by our designation of 1, 2, and X bottoms where the X bottoms are the less significant ones.<<< the 9 month cycle low chart can be seen at Decisionpoint.com decisionpoint.com McClellan marks the most recent sequence as X for Jan 15 '98, 1 for Oct 16 '98 (actual bottom was Oct 8th and 2 for July 20 '99 >>>bottom ideally due in July is scheduled be a type 2 bottom, so it should have a somewhat significant impact on the major averages.<<< >>>We find ourselves in an analytical pickle when we try to reconcile the expectation for a downward cyclical bias in the stock market with the upward expectation given by the Presidential Cycle Pattern shown below.<<< shows Presidential Cycle Pattern bottoming in September '98, and then steadily going upward into September '99, with a fairly sharp pullback from early May '99 into a bottom on May 13. Vitas