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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: edamo who wrote (124195)5/13/1999 1:11:00 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
FYI....Entertainment from our friend Cramer.....He's back on the DELL bandwagon -- atleast until next week <gg> !!

Best Regards,

Scott
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<<Wrong! Spare the Rod, Spoil the Cyclicals

By James J. Cramer

Most mutual funds made a killing today. The old faves, led by Cisco
(CSCO:Nasdaq), put on moves that were reminiscent of last year. Is this the
beginning of a new trend? Could we be returning to The Stocks Everybody
Loves?

I think something different is happening. I think for the next couple of
days we will get some strength in tech, led by the health of Cisco. The
networker's glow will bathe us until Dell (DELL:Nasdaq) reports, and I
expect good news there, too. (I am long both of them.)

In the meantime, the cyclicals will drip down, as this market does not seem
to have the power to take up both groups at the same time. (Notice that the
advance-decline ratio is always bad when TSEL advances!)

I have enough Cisco et al. Socked in that, I believe I will keep pace with
this rally. The rougher thing is to not break discipline on these cyclical
buys I am putting on. Let's take my Dupont (DD:NYSE) buy. I put on my first
10,000 shares at 71. I did not use the down three-point break as a chance
to get 50,000 in, which would be a minimum-sized growth position.

I didn't because the cyclicals are lumpy. I expect that some trend
followers who jumped onto the cyclicals since the Morgan Stanley Cyclical
index crossed 615 will now kick Dupont out. And if the bonds rally, as I
think they will, this stock will fill in the gap of where it took off when
it reported its upside surprise.

I will bid 70 for another 10,000 tomorrow and keep building on that
position with a point scale. No sense being too aggressive into an obvious
cyclical selloff. I would rather double down at 68 then I would get hooked
now at 71 and then have to panic at 68 when Dupont would be the biggest
position in my fund because I had bought so much at one level.

And I will let my telco tech do the talking for a couple of days.

Random musings: I will make my trading gain or loss public on this bond
trade to satisfy my faceless Wyoming critic.
******
James J. Cramer is manager of a hedge fund and co-founder of TheStreet.com.
At time of publication, his fund was long Cisco, Dupont and Dell. His fund
often buys and sells securities that are the subject of his columns, both
before and after the columns are published, and the positions that his fund
takes may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information
in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Cramer's
writings provide insights into the dynamics of money management and are not
a solicitation for transactions. While he cannot provide investment advice
or recommendations, he invites you to comment on his column at
letters@thestreet.com.>>
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