To: George Dawson who wrote (21727 ) 5/13/1999 9:59:00 PM From: Greg Hull Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29386
There were two annual meetings yesterday: the official sit-down meeting and the stand-up chat sessions afterward. Ancor management make themselves very accessible and stayed as long as people asked questions of them. While no secrets were shared, they embellished some of the points made during the official meeting. In no particular order here are some impressions I had of the second meeting. Ancor must be one happy workplace. There is extremely little turnover even though management describes salaries as below average. This in an environment where skilled labor and management is being hunted aggressively. What is their secret? Stock options. I got the impression that turnover (including senior management) would have been significantly higher had the options not been repriced. Ancor may need additional funding later this year. This depends on how quickly shipments ramp. If the ramp is soon enough and the receivables are collected promptly, the cash drain can be drastically reduced. They seemed very confident that the ramp would be in place by Q4, and when "or Q3" was suggested by a shareholder, "or Q3" was seconded. I did not get the impression that they were blowing smoke. If external funding is required, they would prefer a strategic investment from "someone who is more than a banker", if at all possible. They would rather not do a secondary, and they will avoid a convertible preferred like the plague. When they did the Series C placement they did not have many options. While at the time the fact that the Series B shareholders had not converted was cited as a positive, it, in fact, limited the financing options. Potential equity investors did not like the risk of the convertible overhang (hmmm). The need for more cash was imminent and so another round of convertible preferred was the only viable option. Ancor does not view the departure of 3Com from FC as a positive. They apparently liked Ancor's architecture and cost position. We were told that 3Com's modus operandi is to OEM, with the intention of owning and having the lowest manufacturing cost. 3Com is not likely to return to the FC marketplace soon. Ancor is not likely to re-acquire Sequent's business because the cost for Sequent to certify another vendor is millions of dollars. Cocoon will reduce the cost advantage that Ancor has over Brocade, but will not leapfrog the MKII. Ancor's next switch (5th Generation?) with the 16 port ASIC will re-establish the significant cost advantage Ancor currently enjoys. The 16 port ASIC will be capable of 2Gbps, though the need for this speed, today, is limited. This ASIC will be used in the 8 port switch as well. The 16 port switches are expected to be the most popular models sold. There is a need for 8 port switches for the NT market, and larger switches for the enterprise market. Ancor is working with INRANGE to develop a 256 port switch. The shared memory architecture of Brocade's switches is fine for the low port count switches, but does not scale well for larger fabrics. Ancor is much more focused now than in the past. Switches are their business; their only business. The FC switch market will be expanding quite rapidly in the next 4 years. They are no longer making adapters, writing drivers, etc. They will not make the FC/ATM or FC/GE gateways, but will help others make them to expand the market for FC switches. Product expansions will come through acquisition, though it is more likely that Ancor will be acquired first. It sounds likely that we will see a managed hub with the Ancor name on it. Though at first this seems in contradiction to the focus dictum, the difference between a managed hub and switch is software. It sounds as if Brocade might be working on a similar product. It is possible that the hub can be field upgradeable to a switch with the purchase of a software license. A product that Craig Stevenson would be sure to like (albeit two years later than desired). They're having a lot of fun on Blue Circle Drive (though they'll be moving soon), and it sounds as if their money losing quarters may be numbered. Greg