To: Art Bechhoefer who wrote (5697 ) 5/13/1999 6:12:00 PM From: Ausdauer Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 60323
Art and Thread, "Sunnyvale, Part III" (The following information is paraphrased, but a great effort has been made to keep these remarks accurate. I hope that Rex can help me out if I have misquoted or mispoken here.) There really was only a handful of questions from the audience including... Q) "Would solid state drives ever become affordable so as to enable every day use in a PC?" A) Basically, No. That is not a market that Eli mentioned as a target "megamarket" during his powerpoint presentation. Also, Alan Shugart was in the audience and Eli joked that at one point it may have been feasible, but that question may have been germane many years back when disc drives had meager capacity. Q)"When will the company reach a billion dollars in annual sales?" A)Who knows. Q) "What price pressures are ahead and how has the company been affected in 1999?" A) There is a constant pressure on the margins. This is a particular concern because profitability depends on a constant renewal or turnover of the product line with the introduction of newer technologies, testing, upramping of production, bringing product to market, assessing market demand so as not to end up with significant inventory, and then product obsolescence (not in the true sense of the word) to make room for the next generation of cards. If SNDK gets tripped up at any step there could be a significant effect on any given quarter. The good news is that demand for flash products should increase exponentially beginning in 2000 and the relatively fixed overhead costs will become proportionally much smaller. Eli was very happy with the fab investment in Taiwan and its productivity, as well as the arrangement to move a portion of card assembly overseas. (Now all we need is for all of the stars and moons to align and we will be in business.) Q) Will SanDisk be able to challenge competitors such as Lexar and SSTI with respect to issues regarding card write speeds. Is write speed a mission critical step for the consumer electronics market? A) SanDisk is working on improving write speeds, but currently the real demand for such enhancements is in the professional photography arena with higher resolution cameras. It is not really noticeable with currently available digital cameras for the mass public. The company with the greatest write speeds really owns no more than "bragging rights" for the time being. This angle has been played to the extreme by competitors like Lexar essentially as a marketing ploy. SanDisk is working on creating their own controller and still uses controller chips from Motorola. Clearly, card function, compatibility, durability and reliability are key issues at SanDisk and it is apparent that these quality issues take precedence over pushing specs and risking a product recall. Q) "SanDisk has a substantial retail presence currently. Can we expect any effort in the near future to develop the brand name? For example, will SanDisk employ any advertising targeted for the internet audience currently shopping at e-malls?" A) (I asked this question and I kind of regret it now, but somebody had to do it! Eli seemed a bit steamed about it, so I know it is a sensitive issue.) The reply was that this issue comes up frequently among the company officers at staff meetings. Advertising is expensive. It would take a serious bite out of profitability currently. Also, the digital camera market is still a nascent market. To their credit, SanDisk has been relying primarily on design-in wins and endorsements from OEM's, even though these endorsements may not be as evident on the consumer level as we as shareholders would like. There are also issues regarding respect for OEM's concerns about getting stuck with a shipment of private label cards due to overly competitive pricing or advertising by SanDisk. Thus, the whole issue about brand name promotion is intricately intertwined with other business issues. I personally believe that an OEM endorsement by Nikon or Kodak or Casio or RCA is PRICELESS. Sooner or later these associations will begin to pay dividends. In the mean time I believe that focusing on creating a highly reliable, quality product will have a profound effect down the road. Look at the problems with SmartMedia currently!!! I think we are going to have to wait for a while before SanDisk will turn to print or internet advertising. As shareholders we should all be doing our best to publicize the SanDisk product line. Also, let's come up with some innovative ideas to help SanDisk out. I think Limtex or somebody else mentioned recycling the Intel publicity stunt by having OEM's include a red and white sticker that says "SanDisk Inside" on product boxes. You all have to have other ideas as well! Q) What is SanDisk's stance on the unrest in China given the recent developments there and the planned SanDisk presence there? A) Eli stated that was a big unknown and that it is not really possible to know what could happen given the complexity of the situation. He also said that he wasn't losing any sleep over it for the time being. If production were to be interrupted due to political unrest they would have to move card assembly to an alternate site. That is all that I can remember. Have a good night everyone. Ausdauer