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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Monty Lenard who wrote (14024)5/15/1999 7:00:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Monty you are not alone, we all pay our dues <GGG>

"It was really quite commical until I tried to catch INTC because I said "this time it is for real". Lost 3/16 before I figured out I had been suckered also. VBG."


Same happen to me with QQQ lost there some after having a nice gain for entering short into Friday. Well my little loss was well deserved as it was a pure "guts feeling" trade.

We need to penetrated Friday's lows to have this thing rolling. The high open interest in index puts may negate a correction next week.

will see.

BWDIK
Haim



To: Monty Lenard who wrote (14024)5/15/1999 2:19:00 PM
From: KM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
I tried shorting on those fake rallies and it worked pretty well.



To: Monty Lenard who wrote (14024)5/16/1999 10:07:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
From my Chicken page - Day Traders - Market speculation -

Most recent example of irrational stock buying is IBM.

Louis Gerstner of IBM started touting his company as an Internet play - net result the stock went from $220 to $245 for no other reason than speculation. IBM's market capitalization grew by $25 billion just
for a nice story and prep talk ?? - there were no new financial facts or better earnings prediction JUST SPECULATION!! Those $25 billion in added valuation can account for several countries GDP or about 5 to 6 weeks of money flow into the US mutual funds.

To make some sense of the irrational market behavior - Poland with a population of 38 million has a yearly budget of $34 billion and
national debt of $43 billion. Austria with a $21,000 per capita GDP has a national debt of $30 billion similar to Belgium national debt of
$31 billion and Denmark's national debt of of $44 billion (sources the CIA World Fact Book). Does their government "prep talk" eliminate their outstanding debt in two days??? Well I do not think so.

BWDIK
Haim


bway.net