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Non-Tech : Tulipomania Blowoff Contest: Why and When will it end? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Duke of URLĀ© who wrote (1493)5/15/1999 12:34:00 PM
From: Mad2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3543
 
bonds drop, yeald rises and as AG points equities lag.
Ableson aludes to the same issue in his column today

"While caught by surprise on Friday, bonds actually have been nervously smelling trouble for a spell now. Frankly, it kind of puzzled us why the stock market seemed so unconcerned as bond yields began to flirt with 6%. Maybe day traders don't know from interest rates; ah, well, they're learning.

We kind of doubt that the Fed will do anything mean on Tuesday. But Mr. Greenspan at least has a wonderful excuse to look solemn again.

For a variety of reasons -- the undiminished buoyancy of our economy and the spores of recovery and revival shooting up around the world -- we've increasingly been taken by the notion that this most unusual bull market would end in the same old way, done in by rising rates. Last week did nothing to disabuse us of that notion."

Just as stocks get oversold when bad news hits, equities get overbought.....The herd effect

Best Regards, Mad2



To: The Duke of URLĀ© who wrote (1493)5/17/1999 1:35:00 PM
From: Sir Auric Goldfinger  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3543
 
Bonds are falling (yields are up) and yet bonds had not fallen yet (they have now). Used to be when bonds fell out of bed, stocks followed immediately. This time it took a few days.