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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jeffrey D who wrote (30266)5/18/1999 5:28:00 AM
From: Duker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
G,

I second JefferyD's sentiment. This FOMC stuff makes for nice press, but, unless you are a speculator or trader, who really cares if the Fed tightens or changes its bias two years from now?

Tangent: It is like buying DIS. You know in your heart that you are getting to a level where you are paying a reasonable price for a pretty nice group of assets ... but, it would be much nicer to own it in the low-to-mid twenties instead of $28-29 ... five years from now I will be quite pissed if I have not accumulated a significant position below $30.

I hope that the Fed tightens rates by 50bpts and rips into public valuations in an unprecedented assault on the equity markets. This would give us a solid panic ... which could be followed by some intelligent buys. Sorry for those of you with heavy gearing under this scenario.

I am going to play golf ... hoping to come back to a market of lemmings ... ready to listen to what should be a good conference call this evening (simulcast for the first time on c-call).

--Duker



To: Jeffrey D who wrote (30266)5/18/1999 5:37:00 AM
From: Duker  Respond to of 70976
 
Intel Launches Internet Charge;
Goal Is to Stimulate Chip Demand

[How does this get factored into INTC's CapEx?<g> --Duker]

By DEAN TAKAHASHI

Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Gerhard Parker, a seasoned Intel Corp. manufacturing executive, knew he had left the orderly world of semiconductors when he saw the big slide that connects the first and second floors at the headquarters of Excite Inc.

"I asked them what their safety people thought of that," said Mr. Parker, who recently visited the Redwood City, Calif., offices after cutting an electronic-commerce deal with the Web site. "And they said, 'What safety people?' "

It's not the only new experience lately for Mr. Parker, a 55-year-old chip veteran who is helping Intel charge into the Internet and other new businesses. He is dining with Web gurus half his age, pouring money into start-ups and assembling a staff of both experienced operations managers and Web-savvy Generation-Xers. The goals: to anticipate and stimulate demand for chips and, eventually, generate revenue outside that industry.

In the most radical move to date, Intel, Santa Clara, Calif., recently announced that it will pour more than $1 billion over the next few years into a new Internet Data Services unit. The unit will manage computer centers on behalf of Internet-service providers, a hodgepodge of 14,000 companies that connect users to the Internet. Forrester Research Inc., Cambridge, Mass., estimated the business of managing computer centers could grow from $876 million in 1998 to $14.6 billion in 2003, as the service providers choose to rent computing resources rather than buy and manage machines themselves.

The move into computer services, for a company that now churns out hardware products, has been greeted skeptically in some quarters. Rivals such as Exodus Communications Inc., Santa Clara, which already runs more than 9,000 servers for 1,000 Internet service providers, say Intel is shooting from the hip.

1Company Profile: Intel

"I think it's a stretch for them to say they have some expertise here," said Ellen Hancock, Exodus's chief executive officer. "We've taken years to set up our operations. I'm befuddled that they think this is like building chip factories."

Other competitors with a head start in Web hosting include International Business Machines Corp., telephone companies such as GTE Corp. and Qwest Communications International Inc., noted David Cooperstein, an analyst at Forrester Research.

Intel's Claim of Expertise

But Intel said it has plenty of expertise from running its own Web sites and computer networks. With $8.5 billion in the bank, it also has the cash to spend $50 million to $100 million on each of as many as a dozen regional data centers. Mr. Parker said Intel will devise the recipe for a center -- as much as the ever-changing Internet allows -- and then try to stamp them out cookie-cutter style, following Intel's "copy exactly" technique for chip factories. Each center will contain 2,000 to 5,000 computer servers, the high-speed machines that store and transmit Web pages to thousands of users simultaneously.

Companies such as Exodus frequently use a "co-location" strategy, in which the customers buy their own servers and then lease space in Exodus's centers. But Michael Aymar, the vice president at Intel who will run Intel's new business, said that dedicated hardware owned by the hosting company is cheaper for the customer.

Scott McNealy, CEO of server maker Sun Microsystems Inc., argued that customers won't trust Intel because it will push its own hardware with its services. But Mr. Parker said that Intel will set up its data centers according to its customers' wishes, even if that means using equipment from Sun. In turn, Intel will gain valuable knowledge from a "learning laboratory" for how to undertake large computing tasks, said Mr. Aymar, who, in turn, will feed information back to Intel's core microprocessor and server design units.

The Internet is a major reason people buy the desktop computers that now use Intel chips. In the future, many of them may be buying new kinds of Internet appliances or running important programs on centralized servers rather than on desktop machines. Knowing where the Internet is headed will be vital to selling chips for those new applications and to begin building service revenue in addition to hardware revenue.

From Hardware to Services

"Intel understands that the profits in hardware are going to shift as companies start giving away" hardware to entice service subscribers, said John Latta, an analyst at 4th Wave Inc. in Reston, Va.

With so much at stake, Intel's CEO, Craig Barrett, concluded it was vital to reassign some managerial heavy hitters. They include Mr. Parker, an executive vice president who ran manufacturing until he was picked to lead Intel's new-business initiatives last June. Mr. Aymar, a 25-year Intel veteran who is 51, was also chosen by Mr. Barrett after he had voiced a desire for new challenges in a performance review.

"I didn't know who anybody was in this business," says Mr. Aymar, who will report to Mr. Parker. "I've had to pick it up fast. And I've found it incredibly invigorating."

But the effort is also leaning on younger people. Renee James, the 34-year-old former technical assistant to Chairman Andrew Grove, had been helping keep Mr. Grove up to speed on the Internet. Ms. James, now the marketing manager for the Internet data-services unit, steered Mr. Parker and Mr. Aymar to the right people as they interviewed potential customers and staff, and she has helped work on at least two Internet deals.

For the most part, Intel has shied away from buying other Internet service companies, in part because Mr. Parker has been appalled at some of their valuations. But he doesn't rule out more acquisitions in the future because time is a scarce commodity as businesses gear up for an electronic-commerce free-for-all.

"Intel is moving on Internet time," said Mr. Parker. "And we don't think it is much different from chip time."

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



To: Jeffrey D who wrote (30266)5/18/1999 5:41:00 AM
From: Duker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Nikon Posts Group Loss in Fiscal Year
But Expects to Return to Profitability

By JAMES PARADISE
Dow Jones Newswires

TOKYO -- Nikon Corp. posted a parent loss of 9.87 billion yen ($80.4 million) in the year ended in March 31, but forecast a return to profit this year with help from an expected improvement in its semiconductor manufacturing-related equipment business.

But analysts said that while this year won't likely be as bad as last year, the company may still struggle to return to profit because capital spending by semiconductor makers world-wide may remain sluggish.

"I don't think there will be black ink, at least at the net profit level" this year, said Richard Kaye, an analyst as Merrill Lynch Japan. While the company may narrow its loss to half of last year, partly because of a reduction in start-up costs for excimer steppers used for producing semiconductors, Nikon may not get back into the black until the year ending in March 31, 2001, he said. This is because it won't be until next year that world-wide semiconductor production investment picks up, and the company's stepper business starts to recover, Mr. Kaye said.

Nikon said its net sales for the year declined 14% to 252.50 billion yen from 293.93 billion yen in the prior year. The company had a parent operating loss of 10.4 billion yen and a parent pretax loss of 9.62 billion yen.

In the year ended March 31, 1998, Nikon had an operating profit of 8.98 billion, pretax profit of 8.36 billion yen and net profit of 3.03 billion yen.

Nikon said its sales and profit were hurt last year by a decline in stepper sales. Total stepper sales, both those for semiconductor production and those for liquid crystal displays, dropped to 270 units from 465 the prior year and 595 in the year ended in March 1997.

In value terms, sales of semiconductor-related manufacturing equipment fell 30% to 109.39 billion yen last year, and the company had a loss on its sales of steppers, the size of which it didn't reveal. In the camera segment, which was profitable, sales rose 10% to 91.93 billion yen.

For the year ending March 31, 2000, Nikon forecasts overall sales of 290 billion yen, pretax profit of six billion yen and net profit of 3.5 billion yen. Profitability for this year will come from a return to profit on its stepper sales, which it forecasts will rise a little over 10% in unit terms, a boost to its camera business from new models introduced last year, and an improvement in profitability in its ophthalmic products and surveying instruments divisions, a Nikon spokesman said.

Mr. Kaye of Merrill Lynch thinks that Nikon's stepper business may continue to make losses this year, with capital spending by semiconductor makers probably weak in 1999 at $13 billion world-wide, down from $15 billion in 1998. In 2000, he forecasts, it will grow to $19 billion.