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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tony Viola who wrote (30337)5/18/1999 11:57:00 PM
From: Sparky65  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
I am a holder of AMAT stock and have been for a while. Like it a lot. In fact, I bought as much as I could last week in the $50's. The reasons are these:

I did'nt really care what the numbers were today. I figured that they would suprise on the upside. I have been looking at the 2-3 year period for this stock. If you look at stocks like LSI, XLNX, etc.. you will see that they are moving to new highs. The equipment stocks always lag the chips in their move upward. Also, this type of movement in AMAT is typical of the past. You look one day the stock is at $50, you look again in the near future, $100. The long term fundamentals of this business are very strong, and I believe that it is a "No Brainer" that it is a buy right now. I wish I had more money available to buy more. I believe that AMAT will be trading at $100 by end of July.

I believe that we are still in the beginning stages of the largest bull market for chip and chip equipment stocks and you can try to time to tops and bottoms in the short term. But, you will probably be wrong.

Buy and hold this stock, great company, management and fundamentals.

For what it's worth.



To: Tony Viola who wrote (30337)5/19/1999 12:33:00 AM
From: Ian Davidson  Respond to of 70976
 
From the WSJ:

May 19, 1999

Applied Materials Beats Expectations
Thanks to Rebound in Chip Market

By DEAN TAKAHASHI
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Applied Materials Inc., citing a long-awaited rebound in the semiconductor
market, sailed past analysts' expectations for profits and orders in its fiscal
second quarter.

The Santa Clara, Calif., company, the largest maker of the equipment used
to manufacture chips, reported net income for the period ended May 2 of
$141.6 million, or 36 cents a diluted share. That compares with
year-earlier earnings of $141.2 million, or 37 cents a share. The earnings
were well above analysts' consensus of 27 cents a share. Revenue fell 5%
to $1.12 billion from $1.18 billion a year earlier.

Applied Materials said new orders were $1.39 billion, well above analysts'
estimates of roughly $1.15 billion.

"It's encouraging that there were a lot of orders from a lot of customers in
all geographies," said James C. Morgan, the company's chief executive
officer.

The results were announced after the stock market closed. Applied's stock
declined 12.5 cents to $63.125 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading Tuesday,
but rose on the news to $65.25 in after-hours trading, according to
Instinet.

Applied Materials benefited from a restructuring last year that lowered its
costs and helped drive new machines to market. But a bigger factor is the
recovery from an unprecedented three-year spending slowdown among
chip makers. Chip makers appear to be seeing enough growth to justify
new capacity investments, as well as shift to new technologies that will
make faster and cheaper chips.

Byron Walker, an analyst at Warburg Dillon Read in New York, said the
industrywide upturn is "looking good" but depends in part on whether
memory chip makers have enough cash to spend on new equipment.
Prices of dynamic random access memory chips have dropped 40% since
March, Mr. Walker said.

The question for Applied and other equipment makers is whether demand
for the new technologies can overcome problems that are stopping DRAM
companies from investing. Mr. Morgan said that DRAM companies
continue to make selective investments in new products, and he said
orders from Taiwanese companies known as foundries helped offset the
DRAM problems. Taiwanese customers were 25% of the new orders,
second only to 30% from North American customers.

Mr. Morgan added that the speed of the industry recovery also depends
on the health of the Asian, European and U.S. economies that help drive
demand for chips.

During the quarter, Applied began shipping the last of its nine-tool set that
would enable chip makers to make chips that use new, copper technology.
And Applied has begun hiring employees again after cutting about 1,000
positions last year because the Asian economic crisis deepened an already
prolonged semiconductor downturn. The company has about 12,000
employees, well below a peak of 16,000 in 1996 before the downturn
began.



To: Tony Viola who wrote (30337)5/19/1999 1:51:00 AM
From: Sonki  Respond to of 70976
 
tony, makes sense that shift to .18u would drive sales. i think there
are couple of things happening now that would drive this semi equipment market. Report looks berry berry bullish.

spealing of pizza, we missed u @ fjl today. just got home.
not sure if i will be at tomorrow's meeting.