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To: TREND1 who wrote (9570)5/19/1999 1:00:00 PM
From: ahhaha  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29970
 
The expectation of moving averages is zero. They contain no more data than the time series from which they were derived. A filter separates the past from the past. You can expect that your trading results will drop 2% below the efficiency of a coin using any such methods. I think you're confusing success with the Theory of Runs, or is that too mathematical?



To: TREND1 who wrote (9570)5/19/1999 1:03:00 PM
From: CObando  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29970
 
I agree with you on tech analysis and the beauty of math. Some basic education (or even a review of the basics for you "Mr. Know it all's" out there is available at

clearstation.com

Give it a try!



To: TREND1 who wrote (9570)5/19/1999 2:46:00 PM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29970
 
Very good larry but you now have the AH to tend to. You will see.

Greg



To: TREND1 who wrote (9570)5/19/1999 6:01:00 PM
From: David Harker  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 29970
 
>math is a language, programing is a language and English is a
>language. I can not talk to you except in English, but unless
>you speak programing and math.......you will not hear what I say.

That is FUNNY. Ahhaha knows more about both programming and
math than you and 15 of your buddies all put together. All
I can say is go read his past posts on this thread, they go
back all the way... He loves to play word games, to spar
w/ people, sometimes as devil's advocate (ie, even if he agrees
with them) and to make vast, sweeping pronouncements. Very,
very entertaining reading - I really urge you to do it (go back
on this thread and read his posts).

I've had huge "posting wars" w/ him, but have great respect for
his knowledge of technical matters - software/math/physics -
it permeates many of his posts, and the PM's I've received from him.
Regarding knowledge of markets, he used to be a MM (info from a
post of a 6-18 months ago - it's been awhile).

You are very presumptuous.

EDIT - for example, here is some math & a statement that
reinforces Ahhaha's views here that no machine can invest well:

from:

exchange2000.com

"There is a service that takes the trading premium and subtracts
the Black & Scholes pricing model theoretical premium to get a
transient state premium difference. Then applies the Merton model
to the puts for a similar computation. Finally computes the ratio
of the transient state premiums. It is another form of put/call
ratio on a short term basis and it was wickedly accurate, but
like any mechanism, can't predict the future. It does accurately
represent sentiment in comparison to the traditional put/call
ratios which have failed to do a very good job for at least
10 years."

I've got no clue what that means, but seems it does involve math...