To: Dayuhan who wrote (9116 ) 5/20/1999 9:09:00 AM From: Hawkmoon Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
The fastest way to bring the Moslem Brotherhood to the critical mass needed for a serious run at power would be to violently suppress dissent, outlaw opposition parties, and install a dictator whose strings were obviously pulled from abroad. People don't like those things, even - believe it or not - brown people. Kinda funny you bring up the MB(or Ihkwan). They were the focus of a political risk project that I researched for a professor of mine who used to be a muckety-muck at the State Dept I&R dept back in the '60s. The Ihkwan were where current Islamic fundamentalism began in the Mid-East, circa 1922. But they were Sunni, not Shi'ite. I made a prediction that Egypt would face an Iran-like political challenge in the early '90s due to the tremendous pressures that were being exerted on the Mubarak regime by the grass-roots political efforts being pushed by the Brotherhood and their growing presence in the Egytian parliament, as well as the tremendous economic and demographic pressures being placed on the country. Mubarak's capacity to undermine their support while maintaining Egypt on a secular path has been amazing to say the least and his leadership will one day be worthy of historical note. The situation could certainly turn against him in the future, but thus far he has been able to maintain a semblance of peace in a society whose pressures were close to reaching a boiling point. As for US support of dictators, I've stated before that these forms of Caudillo gov'ts rely upon the presence of a single leader and his/her ability to maintain support among a society's parochial interests and security apparatus. When this leader dies or is overthrown, there is a power vacuum that can result in any number of different parties coming to power. A totalitarian system is different in that their is a political machine in place and the only power struggle comes from within that party apparatus. A totalitarian regime represses any opposition or interests outside of its political and economic agenda of state control of resources and people. So while dictators come and go on a regular basis (and somehow life goes on), a totalitarian regime is a systemic ideologically based politically organism, which when it "dies", leaves a far greater vacuum of political control. Regards, Ron