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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: John Gault who wrote (40080)	5/19/1999 11:06:00 PM
From: coug	Respond to of 94695

John, I agree with your assessment that deflation, IMO, is a greater threat than inflation and I posted so last weekend.. based on my own experiences. Which is how I come to most of my conclusions... I think most people that have their feet grounded in the real world understand economics better than when they get their "news" from the various business sources... The "real world" is composed of good people making their way.. "doing the best they could" as John Stewart sang... in "Mother Country".. BTW, from a market point of view, everybody and their dog was bearish last weekened.. I was in the middle. "selectively long" I think I said.. Well I'm still that way. . but BUT DO NOT see a big rally starting.. In fact my indicators are rolling over.. and I'm now flat and looking to short... Same ole, same ole, Volatility.. I'm saying.. Good luck.. Coug..

To: John Gault who wrote (40080)	5/20/1999 3:06:00 PM
From: Lazarus_Long	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

I think the heart of the disagreement here (inflation vs. deflation) comes from not differentiating medium term and longer term. Near and medium term, the US has (1) a labor shortage, and (2) lots of money sloshing around (the Fed LOVES liquidity), both of which are starting to drive up prices. Longer term, there is lots of cheap of foreign competition that wants to eat the US for lunch.

To: John Gault who wrote (40080)	5/20/1999 4:26:00 PM
From: Yogizuna	Respond to of 94695

*OT* John, You said it all when you stated one of your family members has to work 76 hours per week to make good money. Sure, good money, but he or she is just slaving their life away -- for the green! I did something similar once myself, and guess what, I can never get those hours back that would have been spent in happier times! If they are working that many hours per week, sacrificing a normal life, they deserve the big bucks. But the problem in this nation of ours and around the world for that matter, is that many do work 60, 70 even 80 hours per week, but still make slave wages. We really have not progressed as far as we think from the old slavery days. It just comes in different forms these days, or as George Bush would say, "kinder and gentler", but we still have a LONG ways to go before we are treating everyone as they should be. Yogi