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To: KeepItSimple who wrote (57630)5/21/1999 8:57:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
No, you're confusing me with Bezos.

>It appears that you are unable to comprehend what a business model is all about.


KIS,

I have to agree with you here in a big way. Bezos is laughing all the way to the bank and thinking some day I will come up with a business model. Maybe not so who cares?

Glenn



To: KeepItSimple who wrote (57630)5/21/1999 10:59:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
Price: $36 1/2
12 Month Price Objective: $44
Estimates (Dec) 1998A 1999E 2000E
EPS: $2.70 $3.10 $3.50
P/E: 13.5x 11.8x 10.4x
EPS Change (YoY): 14.8% 12.9%
Consensus EPS: $3.11 $3.48
(First Call: 17-May-1999)
Q2 EPS (Jun): $0.68 $0.79
Cash Flow/Share: $6.00 $6.75 $7.75
Price/Cash Flow: 6.1x 5.4x 4.7x
Dividend Rate: $0.37 $0.37 $0.37
Dividend Yield: 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Opinion & Financial Data
Investment Opinion: C-2-1-7
Mkt. Value / Shares Outstanding (mn): $949 / 26
Book Value/Share (Dec-1998): $17.47
Price/Book Ratio: 2.1x
ROE 1999E Average: 17.0%
LT Liability % of Capital: 26.0%
Est. 5 Year EPS Growth: 15.0%
Stock Data
52-Week Range: $39-$17 3/8
Symbol / Exchange: USFC / OTC
Options: Chicago
Institutional Ownership-Spectrum: 81.7%
Brokers Covering (First Call): 10
ML Industry Weightings & Ratings**
Strategy; Weighting Rel. to Mkt.:
Income: In Line (07-Mar-1995)
Growth: In Line (07-Mar-1995)
Income & Growth: In Line (07-Mar-1995)
Capital Appreciation: In Line (22-Nov-1995)
Market Analysis; Technical Rating: Below Average (25-Jun-1998)
**The views expressed are those of the macro department and do not
necessarily coincide with those of the Fundamental analyst.
For full investment opinion definitions, see footnotes.
Investment Highlights:
* USFC held its first analyst day ever on
Thursday, and we were very pleased with the
results.
* It is clear to us that USFC has identified its
strategic direction, and we believe the
company will be able to continue to generate
15%+ EPS gains.
* There were two or three subtle, but potentially
powerful surprises which we believe could add
to EPS in 2000+, which we'll discuss in greater
detail.
* At just 11.8x 1999E EPS, the shares are
inappropriately priced, in our opinion. They
are deserving of at least a 15x P/E multiple,
similar to competitor CNF, as we believe long-term
EPS growth prospects at the two
companies are similar.
* Reaffirm Accumulate/Buy, and $44-46 12-
month price objective.
Fundamental Highlights:
* USFC has been approached by Amazon.com
(AMZN, $130 3/16, D219) and asked to design
a home-delivery solution for particular large
consumer appliances.
Bulletin
United States
Truckers & Transportation Services
21 May 1999
Jeffrey A. Kauffman
First Vice President USFreightways Corp.
Analyst Day Unveils New Positive
Developments
ACCUMULATE
Long Term
BUY Reason for Report: Company Update
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#10114135
Stock Performance
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
0.018
0.020
0.022
0.024
0.026
0.028
0.030
0.032
0.034
0.036
0.038
1996 1997 1998 1999
USFreightways Corp.
Rel to S&P Composite Index (500) (Right Scale)