To: DO$Kapital who wrote (18018 ) 5/22/1999 12:04:00 AM From: Jeff Sutton Respond to of 41369
From Keith Benjamin's Weekly Internet Report, May 21 BANCBOSTON ROBERTSON STEPHENS Keith E. Benjamin, CFA AOL HOSTS AN UP-BEAT INVESTOR DAY - Following a lot of attention focused on AT&T and its quest for cable dominance, AOL's investor day was very well-attended and well-received. The company announced plans to introduce a new online shopping service, Shop@AOL, later this year. We estimate that at AOL's current new subscription levels, the company is adding approximately 1 million new online shoppers every 60 days. Last quarter, AOL shoppers spent an impressive $1.8 billion, which in our view positions AOL as eTailing's silent giant. Other than Shop@AOL there was no single piece of big, new information during the day, rather several data points indicating continued rapid growth and leadership. Most of the presentations centered around a few themes that seem to be driving the company's strategy towards becoming much larger, including continued focus on the consumer and brand-building, eCommerce, broadband, growing AOL's Web presence, AOL anywhere, and international expansion. We believe AOL continues to define the model and set the pace as the consumer Internet brand. With telephone companies soon, and cable companies possibly, it seems reasonably well positioned to help consumers reach the broadband level. With Netscape, ICQ and other acquisitions, it is reaching out to businesses. With its stock currency, it can make some bold moves on the acquisition front. As such, we believe AOL will be able to return significant shareholder value even if we're fuzzy on stock direction over the next quarter or two. We still are unclear concerning possible catalysts over the next quarter or so, though suspect it could be an acquisition or cable deal. In order for the stock to double from here, AOL would probably need to become one of the five largest companies in the world. This is no small feat, although we believe AOL is the number one player in what may prove to be the world's fastest-growing industry. We are willing to pay a lot and wait awhile for that position. As such, we keep this at the top of our list of stocks to accumulate, especially when the group is down.